Anna Bondar vs Ella Seidel
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 04:05
13 Ene 2026, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Anna …: 29,6%
Ella …: 70,4%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,03
(-0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Anna … | Ella … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,10 | 57,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,83 | 2,02 | 54,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,38 | 1,42 | 29,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Anna …: -25,2%
Ella …: +25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#96
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Ella Seidel
Ranking
#82
UTR Rating
12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#98
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0400 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0392 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 27,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,7544 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -19,6078 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7895 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 66,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,6835 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,1649 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,4468 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,1016 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,6656 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3175 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,8760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6579 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0476 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,0951 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,8532 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0363 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1872 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4137 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22860
API ID
15352540
Gamdom ID
591813
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22860,
"api_id": 15352540,
"gamdom_id": 591813,
"player1": "Anna Bondar",
"player2": "Ella Seidel",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T00:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 2.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.81,
"p2": 1.97
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2959,
"prob_p2": 0.7041,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7041,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 96,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 82,
"utr_singles": 12.03,
"utr_ranking": 98,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 96,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 98,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.04,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": 27,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.101578947368417,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 14.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
"utr_advantage": -1.4137214137214134,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.03922071315328133,
"rank_advantage": 3,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.75438596491228,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.6656140350877209,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.6834912280701673,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3175438596491231,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.1649122807017562,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.047640510901807,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.095112542959475,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.8532225317555938,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.4468421052631584,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.876000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.036333333333333384,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1872105263157895,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.607843137254896,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}