Anna Bondar vs Ella Seidel
Hobart | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ella Seidel
Anna …: 29,6% Ella …: 70,4%
¿Por qué Ella Seidel?
UTR 12,04 vs 12,03 (-0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Anna … Ella … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,10 57,8%
Gamdom 1,83 2,02 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,38 1,42 29,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Anna …: -25,2% Ella …: +25,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Anna Bondar
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Ella Seidel
Ranking #82
UTR Rating 12,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #98
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 26/38 = 68,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 3,0000
rank_ratio 1,0400
log_rank_ratio 0,0392
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 27,0000
best_rank_diff 34,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,7544
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -19,6078
surface_matches_ratio 0,7895
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 66,6667
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,6835
first_serve_won_diff 2,1649
second_serve_won_diff -3,4468
bp_saved_diff -10,1016
bp_converted_diff 0,6656
aces_per_match_diff 1,3175
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,8760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 6,0476
serve_consistency_p2 12,0951
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,8532
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0363
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1872
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1700
utr_p1 0,4635
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage -1,4137
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22860
API ID 15352540
Gamdom ID 591813
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22860,
    "api_id": 15352540,
    "gamdom_id": 591813,
    "player1": "Anna Bondar",
    "player2": "Ella Seidel",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T00:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 2.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.81,
      "p2": 1.97
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2959,
    "prob_p2": 0.7041,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7041,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 82,
      "utr_singles": 12.03,
      "utr_ranking": 98,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 68.42105263157895,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.03,
      "ranking": 98,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4635294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.04,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 27,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.101578947368417,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 14.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -1.4137214137214134,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 34,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.03922071315328133,
    "rank_advantage": 3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.75438596491228,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.6656140350877209,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.6834912280701673,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6578947368421053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.3175438596491231,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.1649122807017562,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.047640510901807,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.095112542959475,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.8532225317555938,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 66.66666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.4468421052631584,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7894736842105263,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.876000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.036333333333333384,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1872105263157895,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -19.607843137254896,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}