Jerome Kym vs Dane Sweeny
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jerome Kym
Jerome …: 68,5% Dane …: 31,5%
¿Por qué Jerome Kym?
UTR 14,50 vs 14,51 (+0,32) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jerome … Dane … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 2,75 71,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,65 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,46 3,17 68,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Jerome …: +2,2% Dane …: -2,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Kym
Ranking #187
UTR Rating 14,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #175
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Dane Sweeny
Ranking #182
UTR Rating 14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0110
log_rank_ratio 0,0110
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 58,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,7368
surface_matches_ratio 0,8000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,3333
surface_wr_p2 53,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,2500
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,6316
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 25,3742
first_serve_won_diff 10,7750
second_serve_won_diff 1,4000
bp_saved_diff 4,8750
bp_converted_diff 2,7000
aces_per_match_diff 9,7833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,5850
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9448
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,0904
serve_consistency_p2 6,8975
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0549
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0813
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0353
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3200
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,7306
utr_advantage 2,2269
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22862
API ID 15352550
Gamdom ID 591859
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22862,
    "api_id": 15352550,
    "gamdom_id": 591859,
    "player1": "Jerome Kym",
    "player2": "Dane Sweeny",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6847,
    "prob_p2": 0.3153,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6847,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 187,
      "utr_singles": 14.5,
      "utr_ranking": 175,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 182,
      "utr_singles": 14.51,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.5,
      "ranking": 175,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.51,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7305882352941178,
    "utr_diff": 0.3199999999999985,
    "rank_ratio": 1.011049723756906,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.875,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 58.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 2.226861517049398,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 58,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.010989121575595165,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 25.374166666666653,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9448275862068966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.783333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.774999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.090431105041521,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.897541960321936,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.054945607877975824,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.4000000000000057,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.585000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08133333333333337,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03533333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7368421052631595,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}