Martin Damm Jr vs Titouan Droguet
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Martin …: 58,6% Titouan …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Titouan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,18 1,69 45,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,71 2,42 58,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: +12,3% Titouan …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #177
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #155
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #162
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -21,0000
rank_ratio 0,8786
log_rank_ratio -0,1294
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -74,0000
best_rank_diff -43,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,5507
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,2545
surface_matches_ratio 0,7667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,2174
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,9630
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3043
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 12,6501
first_serve_won_diff 2,4420
second_serve_won_diff 5,0728
bp_saved_diff 5,9119
bp_converted_diff 3,5916
aces_per_match_diff 4,9536
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,8500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,5625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 2,8349
serve_consistency_p2 7,7208
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,1066
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1732
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0457
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7635
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22863
API ID 15352512
Gamdom ID 591815
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22863,
    "api_id": 15352512,
    "gamdom_id": 591815,
    "player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "player2": "Titouan Droguet",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.18,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.16,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5861,
    "prob_p2": 0.4139,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5861,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 155,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 162,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 162,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8786127167630058,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -74,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.911884057971015,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -43,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.12941107365150256,
    "rank_advantage": -21,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.550724637681164,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.5915942028985484,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 12.650086956521733,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.953623188405798,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.4420289855072497,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.834888246133956,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.720784651354099,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.1065584558606747,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.072753623188412,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.850000000000009,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1731739130434783,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04566666666666663,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.254538852578067,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}