Martin Damm Jr vs Titouan Droguet
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Martin …: 58,6%
Titouan …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Martin … | Titouan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,18 | 1,69 | 45,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,71 | 2,42 | 58,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Martin …: +12,3%
Titouan …: -12,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#177
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking
#155
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#162
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -21,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8786 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1294 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -74,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,5507 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,2545 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,8824 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 12,6501 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,4420 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,0728 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,9119 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,5916 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,9536 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,8349 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7208 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,1066 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1732 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0457 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22863
API ID
15352512
Gamdom ID
591815
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22863,
"api_id": 15352512,
"gamdom_id": 591815,
"player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
"player2": "Titouan Droguet",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.18,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.16,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5861,
"prob_p2": 0.4139,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5861,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 155,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 162,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.53,
"ranking": 162,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8786127167630058,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -74,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.911884057971015,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.12941107365150256,
"rank_advantage": -21,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.550724637681164,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5915942028985484,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 12.650086956521733,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.953623188405798,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.4420289855072497,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.834888246133956,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.720784651354099,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1065584558606747,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.072753623188412,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.850000000000009,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1731739130434783,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04566666666666663,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.254538852578067,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}