Nishesh Basavareddy vs Sebastian Ofner
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nishesh Basavareddy
Nishesh …: 75,6% Sebastian …: 24,5%
¿Por qué Nishesh Basavareddy?
UTR 15,04 vs 14,96 (-0,06) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nishesh … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,0%
Gamdom 1,35 3,25 74,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,32 4,09 75,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Nishesh …: +4,6% Sebastian …: -4,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nishesh Basavareddy
Ranking #242
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #82
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/37 = 56,8%
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 14,96 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR Hard 0/6 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,7616
log_rank_ratio -0,2723
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -127,0000
best_rank_diff -62,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 56,7568
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,6273
surface_matches_ratio 6,1667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,7568
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,0976
surface_wr_p2_stable 32,0000
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1351
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -17,1487
first_serve_won_diff -11,2793
second_serve_won_diff 1,6063
bp_saved_diff -1,9865
bp_converted_diff 26,9590
aces_per_match_diff -5,9955
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 16,7550
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6471
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1087
serve_consistency_p2 5,2182
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -15,4547
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1086
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5410
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0600
utr_p1 0,8435
utr_p2 0,8506
utr_advantage -0,3947
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22864
API ID 15352510
Gamdom ID 591814
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22864,
    "api_id": 15352510,
    "gamdom_id": 591814,
    "player1": "Nishesh Basavareddy",
    "player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3333333333333333,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.35,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7555,
    "prob_p2": 0.2445,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7555,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 242,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 82,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 14.96,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 82,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.96,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
    "utr_diff": -0.0600000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7616279069767442,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -127,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.9864864864864913,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.75675675675676,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.3947368421052665,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -62,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.27229715361230145,
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 56.75675675675676,
    "bp_converted_diff": 26.959009009009016,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -17.148738738738743,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.995495495495496,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.279279279279294,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.108675626276897,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.218221403674993,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -15.454703313130622,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.09756097560976,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 32.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.6063063063063083,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.166666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 16.754999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10856756756756758,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.541,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.627317073170733,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}