Chloe Paquet vs Kristina Mladenovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chloe Paquet
Chloe …: 53,3%
Kristina …: 46,7%
¿Por qué Chloe Paquet?
UTR 11,68 vs 11,04
(+0,94)
— Niveles similares
Chloe …
Sin datos
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chloe … | Kristina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,56 | 2,50 | 64,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,87 | 2,14 | 53,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chloe …: -5,5%
Kristina …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#184
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
4/14 = 28,6%
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#474
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
43% (7p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chloe Paquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025
1W - 4L (20%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
11,6
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 263,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1097 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7465 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 303,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 404,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,7619 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,1810 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 28,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1905 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,3095 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5571 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,3571 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,9929 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -18,3071 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6905 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,4940 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 33,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5664 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,1204 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,5550 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4773 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0963 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3306 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,3333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22867
API ID
15352392
Gamdom ID
591795
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22867,
"api_id": 15352392,
"gamdom_id": 591795,
"player1": "Chloe Paquet",
"player2": "Kristina Mladenovic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.56,
"p2": 2.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.42
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5335,
"prob_p2": 0.4665,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5335,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 240,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 184,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.04,
"utr_ranking": 474,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 1,
"utr_v4_losses": 4,
"utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.22,
"opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.99,
"opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.57,
"opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.54,
"opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 184,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.04,
"ranking": 474,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.9399999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 2.109704641350211,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 303,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.9928571428571544,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 8.333333333333329,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 404,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7465479572870606,
"rank_advantage": 263,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.761904761904759,
"bp_converted_diff": -18.307142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.30952380952381,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.6904761904761902,
"combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5571428571428569,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.566408513810049,
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"surface_rank_synergy": -3.5549902727955245,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.357142857142854,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.494,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 33,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4772857142857143,
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"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1809523809523796,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}