Chloe Paquet vs Kristina Mladenovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chloe Paquet
Chloe …: 53,3% Kristina …: 46,7%
¿Por qué Chloe Paquet?
UTR 11,68 vs 11,04 (+0,94) — Niveles similares
Chloe …
Sin datos
Kristina …
W1-L4
20% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L4
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chloe … Kristina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,56 2,50 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,87 2,14 53,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Chloe …: -5,5% Kristina …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chloe Paquet
Ranking #240
UTR Rating 11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking #184
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/14 = 28,6%
Kristina Mladenovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #474
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 43% (7p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chloe Paquet
Sin datos UTR v4
Kristina Mladenovic
Record 2025 1W - 4L (20%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 263,0000
rank_ratio 2,1097
log_rank_ratio 0,7465
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 303,0000
best_rank_diff 404,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,7619
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,1810
surface_matches_ratio 4,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 28,5714
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1905
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,4133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,3095
first_serve_won_diff -0,5571
second_serve_won_diff 7,3571
bp_saved_diff 3,9929
bp_converted_diff -18,3071
aces_per_match_diff 3,6905
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,4940
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 33,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,5664
serve_consistency_p2 9,1204
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,5550
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4773
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0963
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9400
utr_p1 0,4412
utr_p2 0,3306
utr_advantage 8,3333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22867
API ID 15352392
Gamdom ID 591795
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22867,
    "api_id": 15352392,
    "gamdom_id": 591795,
    "player1": "Chloe Paquet",
    "player2": "Kristina Mladenovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.42
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5335,
    "prob_p2": 0.4665,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5335,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 240,
      "utr_singles": 11.68,
      "utr_ranking": 184,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.04,
      "utr_ranking": 474,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 1,
      "utr_v4_losses": 4,
      "utr_v4_wr": 20.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.56,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.22,
          "opponent_name": "Alevtina Ibragimova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Katerina SINIAKOVA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.99,
          "opponent_name": "Malene Helgo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.57,
          "opponent_name": "Polina Kudermetova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.54,
          "opponent_name": "Louisa Chirico"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.833181+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 42.857142857142854,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.68,
      "ranking": 184,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.04,
      "ranking": 474,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.3305882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.9399999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 2.109704641350211,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 303,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.9928571428571544,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 28.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 8.333333333333329,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 404,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7465479572870606,
    "rank_advantage": 263,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.761904761904759,
    "bp_converted_diff": -18.307142857142857,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.30952380952381,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.4,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.6904761904761902,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5571428571428569,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.566408513810049,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.120397910788059,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.5549902727955245,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.357142857142854,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.494,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 33,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4772857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09633333333333327,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.1809523809523796,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}