Nikola Bartunkova vs Tina Nadine Smith
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:35
14 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola …: 72,5%
Tina …: 27,5%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,31
(+0,67)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikola … | Tina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,18 | 4,50 | 84,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,60 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,38 | 3,64 | 72,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikola …: -6,7%
Tina …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Tina Nadine Smith
Ranking
#334
UTR Rating
11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#338
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 202,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6032 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9567 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 392,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 140,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,6984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,9609 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0171 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 41,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,7270 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,1397 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,3492 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1302 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,2651 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4762 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,6310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4397 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7419 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,1490 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1464 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1306 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 12,6984 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3906 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,7486 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22869
API ID
15352543
Gamdom ID
591836
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22869,
"api_id": 15352543,
"gamdom_id": 591836,
"player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
"player2": "Tina Nadine Smith",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T03:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1818181818181819,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.725,
"prob_p2": 0.275,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.725,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 11.99,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 334,
"utr_singles": 11.31,
"utr_ranking": 338,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 338,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.3905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.6699999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 2.6031746031746033,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 392,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.1301587301587404,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -8.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 5.748605748605748,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 140,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9567317014326657,
"rank_advantage": 202,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.698412698412703,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.265079365079373,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.726984126984135,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4761904761904763,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.139682539682553,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.439708902066021,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.7418659453280254,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.148973986446553,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.81818181818181,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.349206349206362,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.631,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 12.698412698412703,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14644444444444438,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1305714285714285,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.960890960890962,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}