Nikola Bartunkova vs Tina Nadine Smith
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola …: 72,5% Tina …: 27,5%
¿Por qué Nikola Bartunkova?
UTR 11,99 vs 11,31 (+0,67) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikola … Tina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,18 4,50 84,6%
Gamdom 1,21 4,60 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,38 3,64 72,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikola …: -6,7% Tina …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikola Bartunkova
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Tina Nadine Smith
Ranking #334
UTR Rating 11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #338
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 202,0000
rank_ratio 2,6032
log_rank_ratio 0,9567
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 392,0000
best_rank_diff 140,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,6984
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,9609
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0171
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,8182
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,7270
first_serve_won_diff 7,1397
second_serve_won_diff 7,3492
bp_saved_diff 3,1302
bp_converted_diff -5,2651
aces_per_match_diff 1,4762
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,6310
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 9,4397
serve_consistency_p2 3,7419
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,1490
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1464
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1306
elite_surface_amplifier 12,6984
UTR
utr_diff 0,6700
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,3906
utr_advantage 5,7486
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22869
API ID 15352543
Gamdom ID 591836
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22869,
    "api_id": 15352543,
    "gamdom_id": 591836,
    "player1": "Nikola Bartunkova",
    "player2": "Tina Nadine Smith",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T03:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1818181818181819,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.725,
    "prob_p2": 0.275,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.725,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 334,
      "utr_singles": 11.31,
      "utr_ranking": 338,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.31,
      "ranking": 338,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.3905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.6699999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 2.6031746031746033,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 392,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.1301587301587404,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -8.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 5.748605748605748,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 140,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9567317014326657,
    "rank_advantage": 202,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.698412698412703,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.265079365079373,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.726984126984135,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.4761904761904763,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.139682539682553,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.439708902066021,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.7418659453280254,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.148973986446553,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.01709401709402,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.81818181818181,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.349206349206362,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.631,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 12.698412698412703,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14644444444444438,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1305714285714285,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.960890960890962,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}