Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Olivia Gadecki
Sloane …: 27,9% Olivia …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Olivia Gadecki?
UTR 11,65 vs 11,70 (-0,45) — Niveles similares
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Olivia …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sloane … Olivia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,85 1,45 35,1%
IA Fair Odds 3,59 1,39 27,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Sloane …: -7,6% Olivia …: +7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sloane Stephens
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #400
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 14% (7p)
WR Hard 0/6 = 0,0%
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking #172
UTR Rating 11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking #185
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 1/12 = 8,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025 0W - 5L (0%)
Racha 5L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Olivia Gadecki
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -329,0000
rank_ratio 0,3420
log_rank_ratio -1,0729
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -405,0000
best_rank_diff -417,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,8350
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 8,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 12,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 18,7500
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,3767
first_serve_won_diff -6,7000
second_serve_won_diff -6,2000
bp_saved_diff 1,9000
bp_converted_diff 14,6000
aces_per_match_diff -1,5833
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,8950
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3636
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0945
serve_consistency_p2 7,4225
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,9412
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1710
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,7457
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4500
utr_p1 0,3765
utr_p2 0,4294
utr_advantage -3,9387
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22870
API ID 15352542
Gamdom ID 591835
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22870,
    "api_id": 15352542,
    "gamdom_id": 591835,
    "player1": "Sloane Stephens",
    "player2": "Olivia Gadecki",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.85,
      "p2": 1.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.77,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2785,
    "prob_p2": 0.7215,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7215,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 400,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 5,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.77,
          "opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Ann Li"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 14.285714285714285,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 172,
      "utr_singles": 11.7,
      "utr_ranking": 185,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 400,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.7,
      "ranking": 185,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.37647058823529406,
    "utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": -0.45000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 0.342,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -405,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 8.333333333333332,
    "utr_advantage": -3.9387308533916943,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -417,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0729445419195318,
    "rank_advantage": -329,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333332,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.376666666666665,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.5833333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.699999999999989,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.09445553534813,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.422517230692967,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.941204515996096,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 12.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 18.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.89500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17100000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.7456666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.8350000000000004,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}