Sloane Stephens vs Olivia Gadecki
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Olivia Gadecki
Sloane …: 27,9%
Olivia …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Olivia Gadecki?
UTR 11,65 vs 11,70
(-0,45)
— Niveles similares
Sloane …
W0-L5
0% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L5
Olivia …
Sin datos
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sloane … | Olivia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,85 | 1,45 | 35,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,59 | 1,39 | 27,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sloane …: -7,6%
Olivia …: +7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sloane Stephens
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#400
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
14% (7p)
WR Hard
0/6 = 0,0%
Olivia Gadecki
Ranking
#172
UTR Rating
11,70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#185
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
1/12 = 8,3%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sloane Stephens
Record 2025
0W - 5L (0%)
Racha
5L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Olivia Gadecki
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -329,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3420 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,0729 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -405,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -417,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,8350 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 12,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 18,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,3767 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,5833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,8950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0945 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4225 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,9412 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1710 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,7457 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,9387 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22870
API ID
15352542
Gamdom ID
591835
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22870,
"api_id": 15352542,
"gamdom_id": 591835,
"player1": "Sloane Stephens",
"player2": "Olivia Gadecki",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.85,
"p2": 1.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.77,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2785,
"prob_p2": 0.7215,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7215,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.65,
"utr_ranking": 400,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 5,
"utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Sahaja Yamalapalli"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.65,
"opponent_name": "Lucrezia Stefanini"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.77,
"opponent_name": "Petra Martic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Aryna SABALENKA"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.3,
"opponent_name": "Ann Li"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:35.838916+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 14.285714285714285,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 172,
"utr_singles": 11.7,
"utr_ranking": 185,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 8.333333333333332,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.65,
"ranking": 400,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.7,
"ranking": 185,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.37647058823529406,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": -0.45000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 0.342,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -405,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.8999999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 8.333333333333332,
"utr_advantage": -3.9387308533916943,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -417,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.0729445419195318,
"rank_advantage": -329,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333332,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.376666666666665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5833333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.42000000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.699999999999989,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.09445553534813,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.422517230692967,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.941204515996096,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 12.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 18.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.89500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17100000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.7456666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.8350000000000004,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}