Viktoria Hruncakova vs Viktoriya Tomova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoriya Tomova
Viktoria …: 33,5% Viktoriya …: 66,5%
¿Por qué Viktoriya Tomova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktoria … Viktoriya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,67 47,6%
Gamdom 2,47 1,57 40,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,98 1,50 33,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktoria …: -10,7% Viktoriya …: +10,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoria Hruncakova
Ranking #220
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR Hard 3/8 = 37,5%
Viktoriya Tomova
Ranking #128
UTR Rating 11,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 11/25 = 44,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -91,0000
rank_ratio 0,5845
log_rank_ratio -0,5370
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -229,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,4764
surface_matches_ratio 0,3200
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,5000
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,8333
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 8,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4067
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,5622
first_serve_won_diff 5,2750
second_serve_won_diff -9,8175
bp_saved_diff -11,9950
bp_converted_diff 7,5300
aces_per_match_diff 2,9350
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 3,3150
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5217
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 7,8775
serve_consistency_p2 7,8224
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,4908
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0340
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1510
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4671
utr_p2 0,4671
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22871
API ID 15352545
Gamdom ID 591861
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22871,
    "api_id": 15352545,
    "gamdom_id": 591861,
    "player1": "Viktoria Hruncakova",
    "player2": "Viktoriya Tomova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.6666666666666665
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.47,
      "p2": 1.57
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3351,
    "prob_p2": 0.6649,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6649,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 220,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 128,
      "utr_singles": 11.93,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.93,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_p2": 0.46705882352941186,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5844748858447488,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -229,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.994999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 6.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5370414658968837,
    "rank_advantage": -91,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.530000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 8,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.562249999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5217391304347826,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.935,
    "combined_confidence": 0.62,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.274999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.877489447286035,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.8223925159029655,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.490769528329744,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.833333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -9.817499999999995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.32,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 3.3149999999999977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03400000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15099999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.476436781609196,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}