Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Despina Papamichail
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Yuliia …: 74,3% Despina …: 25,7%
¿Por qué Yuliia Starodubtseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,41 (+0,43) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yuliia … Despina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,20 4,33 83,3%
Gamdom 1,22 4,60 82,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,89 74,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Yuliia …: -4,0% Despina …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking #110
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #106
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/27 = 37,0%
Despina Papamichail
Ranking #160
UTR Rating 11,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #300
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 50,0000
rank_ratio 1,4545
log_rank_ratio 0,3747
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 256,0000
best_rank_diff 80,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 37,0370
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3428
surface_matches_ratio 27,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,0370
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 38,7097
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,5714
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2593
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,6067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,7100
first_serve_won_diff 7,8000
second_serve_won_diff 2,7000
bp_saved_diff 3,6000
bp_converted_diff 33,8000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,9500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4333
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,2937
serve_consistency_p2 8,5089
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,8775
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1796
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4500
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4300
utr_p1 0,4541
utr_p2 0,4035
utr_advantage 3,6926
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22872
API ID 15352544
Gamdom ID 591852
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22872,
    "api_id": 15352544,
    "gamdom_id": 591852,
    "player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
    "player2": "Despina Papamichail",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.23
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.743,
    "prob_p2": 0.257,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.743,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 110,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 106,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": 11.41,
      "utr_ranking": 300,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 106,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.41,
      "ranking": 300,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
    "utr_p2": 0.40352941176470586,
    "utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 256,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.692571919278658,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 80,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3746934494414107,
    "rank_advantage": 50,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 37.03703703703704,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.8,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.710000000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.29370211256136,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.508880410195372,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.877535164496694,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.700000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.950000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17962962962962964,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44999999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.3427956989247294,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}