Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Despina Papamichail
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Yuliia …: 74,3%
Despina …: 25,7%
¿Por qué Yuliia Starodubtseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 11,41
(+0,43)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yuliia … | Despina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,22 | 4,60 | 82,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,89 | 74,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yuliia …: -4,0%
Despina …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Ranking
#110
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/27 = 37,0%
Despina Papamichail
Ranking
#160
UTR Rating
11,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#300
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 50,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3747 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 256,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 80,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,3428 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 27,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 37,0370 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,7097 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2593 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,7100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 33,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4333 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2937 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5089 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,8775 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1796 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4500 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4035 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,6926 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22872
API ID
15352544
Gamdom ID
591852
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22872,
"api_id": 15352544,
"gamdom_id": 591852,
"player1": "Yuliia Starodubtseva",
"player2": "Despina Papamichail",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.743,
"prob_p2": 0.257,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.743,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 110,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 37.03703703703704,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": 11.41,
"utr_ranking": 300,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.41,
"ranking": 300,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
"utr_p2": 0.40352941176470586,
"utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 256,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 37.03703703703704,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.692571919278658,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 80,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3746934494414107,
"rank_advantage": 50,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 37.03703703703704,
"bp_converted_diff": 33.8,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.710000000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.43333333333333335,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.799999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.25925925925925924,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.29370211256136,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.508880410195372,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.877535164496694,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.70967741935484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.700000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 27.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.950000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17962962962962964,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.44999999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.3427956989247294,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}