Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesaña
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 02:30
14 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 72,7%
Francisco …: 27,3%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ben … | Francisco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,38 | 3,66 | 72,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ben …: +7,0%
Francisco …: -7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
27/42 = 64,3%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking
#68
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 8,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,1102 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3131,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 49,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,2857 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,3043 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9091 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,0435 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2857 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,5152 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9039 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,2771 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,6325 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0368 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7900 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9777 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1513 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5517 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0525 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6654 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 30,1459 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0849 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0580 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 42,8571 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9082 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22874
API ID
15327199
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22874,
"api_id": 15327199,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ben Shelton",
"player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-13T22:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7267,
"prob_p2": 0.2733,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7267,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 15.65,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.65,
"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9082352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.9082352941176471,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 8.25,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 2.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 3131,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.6324675324675297,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -48.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.28571428571429,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 49,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.1102132003465894,
"rank_advantage": 58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.285714285714292,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.036796536796537,
"p1_surface_matches": 42,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.515151515151516,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7900432900432897,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.903896103896116,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.052521175288659,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.665435977000541,
"surface_rank_synergy": 30.145902862094147,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.277056277056275,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9090909090909092,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.900000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 42.857142857142875,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08485714285714285,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05800000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.30434782608696,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}