Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesaña
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 02:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ben Shelton
Ben …: 72,7% Francisco …: 27,3%
¿Por qué Ben Shelton?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ben … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,38 3,66 72,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Ben …: +7,0% Francisco …: -7,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ben Shelton
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 15,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #14
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 27/42 = 64,3%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #68
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 58,0000
rank_ratio 8,2500
log_rank_ratio 2,1102
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 3131,0000
best_rank_diff 49,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 14,2857
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,3043
surface_matches_ratio 1,9091
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,2857
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 63,0435
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 42,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2857
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,5152
first_serve_won_diff 2,9039
second_serve_won_diff 8,2771
bp_saved_diff 2,6325
bp_converted_diff -6,0368
aces_per_match_diff 0,7900
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,9000
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 60,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9777
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1513
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5517
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 4,0525
serve_consistency_p2 8,6654
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 30,1459
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0849
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0580
elite_surface_amplifier 42,8571
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9082
utr_p2 0,9082
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22874
API ID 15327199
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22874,
    "api_id": 15327199,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ben Shelton",
    "player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-13T22:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 3.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7267,
    "prob_p2": 0.2733,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7267,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 15.65,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "division": null,
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  },
  "features": {
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    "points_diff": 3131,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.6324675324675297,
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    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -6.036796536796537,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9776536312849162,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7900432900432897,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.903896103896116,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.052521175288659,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.665435977000541,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 30.145902862094147,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.04347826086957,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.30434782608696,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}