Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskaya
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
13 Ene 2026, 12:50
13 Ene 2026, 12:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 74,3%
Anna …: 25,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,44
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Anna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,99 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,89 | 74,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +21,6%
Anna …: -21,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#28
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 16,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9412 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6633 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 674,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,7507 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,2222 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8966 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,1724 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4237 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0462 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,5077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 9,5077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,5318 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,3400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6489 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,9319 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1663 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,4271 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2532 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0677 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 21,7507 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5118 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,0833 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22875
API ID
15328443
Gamdom ID
580615
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22875,
"api_id": 15328443,
"gamdom_id": 580615,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Anna Kalinskaya",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-13T08:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.99
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.84,
"p2": 1.95
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7427,
"prob_p2": 0.2573,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7427,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 33,
"utr_singles": 12.44,
"utr_ranking": 28,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 28,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.9411764705882353,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 674,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.507692307692309,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.172413793103445,
"utr_advantage": 2.0833333333333313,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6632942174102642,
"rank_advantage": 16,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.75066312997349,
"bp_converted_diff": 9.50769230769231,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.423660477453595,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.648936170212766,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.53183023872679,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.492307692307705,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.931922635020802,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.166267935143058,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.427089078950052,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0461538461538495,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.896551724137931,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3400000000000176,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 21.75066312997349,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.25323076923076937,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06772413793103449,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.222222222222225,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}