Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskaya
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
13 Ene 2026, 12:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 74,3% Anna …: 25,7%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 12,44 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,86 1,99 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,35 3,89 74,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +21,6% Anna …: -21,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Anna Kalinskaya
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #28
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/29 = 55,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16,0000
rank_ratio 1,9412
log_rank_ratio 0,6633
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 674,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,7507
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,2222
surface_matches_ratio 0,8966
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 55,1724
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,4237
first_serve_won_diff 5,4923
second_serve_won_diff 2,0462
bp_saved_diff 7,5077
bp_converted_diff 9,5077
aces_per_match_diff 3,5318
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,3400
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6489
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 1,9319
serve_consistency_p2 10,1663
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,4271
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2532
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0677
elite_surface_amplifier 21,7507
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,5118
utr_advantage 2,0833
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22875
API ID 15328443
Gamdom ID 580615
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22875,
    "api_id": 15328443,
    "gamdom_id": 580615,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Anna Kalinskaya",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-13T08:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.99
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 1.95
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7427,
    "prob_p2": 0.2573,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7427,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 28,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.172413793103445,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 28,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.5117647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.9411764705882353,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 674,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.507692307692309,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.172413793103445,
    "utr_advantage": 2.0833333333333313,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.6632942174102642,
    "rank_advantage": 16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.75066312997349,
    "bp_converted_diff": 9.50769230769231,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.423660477453595,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.648936170212766,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.53183023872679,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.492307692307705,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.931922635020802,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.166267935143058,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.427089078950052,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.0461538461538495,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.896551724137931,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.3400000000000176,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 21.75066312997349,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.25323076923076937,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06772413793103449,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.222222222222225,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}