Jacob Fearnley vs Quentin Halys
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 06:40
13 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jacob Fearnley
Jacob …: 57,6%
Quentin …: 42,4%
¿Por qué Jacob Fearnley?
UTR 15,30 vs 14,75
(+0,68)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Quentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,74 | 2,36 | 57,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jacob …: +17,9%
Quentin …: -17,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Quentin Halys
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#120
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/33 = 39,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2297 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2068 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 83,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,8561 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0150 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9697 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,3939 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,5405 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,9583 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,5103 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,7207 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,6830 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,6765 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,3097 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -48,1740 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9620 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4023 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1687 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,4857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0455 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0891 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5003 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22876
API ID
15352643
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22876,
"api_id": 15352643,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Quentin Halys",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T02:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5762,
"prob_p2": 0.4238,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5762,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 120,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.39393939393939,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 120,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.6799999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 1.2297297297297298,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 83,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.6829545454545425,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.39393939393939,
"utr_advantage": 4.500330906684313,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.20679441331268036,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.85606060606061,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.6765151515151473,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.958257575757571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8866995073891626,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9619565217391305,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.309659090909092,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.51032196969696,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.4023316053072525,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.168692743207822,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.485739163793287,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.54054054054054,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.720738636363642,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9696969696969697,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -48.174,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.045499999999999985,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08906060606060606,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.015015015015017,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}