Damir Džumhur vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Shevchenko
Damir …: 44,8% Alexander …: 55,2%
¿Por qué Alexander Shevchenko?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Damir … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,23 1,81 44,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Damir …: -5,2% Alexander …: +5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #66
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/21 = 42,9%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 41,0000
rank_ratio 1,6308
log_rank_ratio 0,4891
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 240,0000
best_rank_diff 22,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,0745
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,1062
surface_matches_ratio 0,9130
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,7333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -10,1570
first_serve_won_diff -10,4776
second_serve_won_diff 8,8373
bp_saved_diff 1,9894
bp_converted_diff 20,7304
aces_per_match_diff -3,7847
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -39,2790
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4949
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3818
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 10,2789
serve_consistency_p2 13,1542
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,9489
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1124
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1112
elite_surface_amplifier 8,0745
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7871
utr_p2 0,7871
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22877
API ID 15352641
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 22877,
    "api_id": 15352641,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T04:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
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    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": {
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    "prob_p2": 0.5521,
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  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
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      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
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      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.7846790890269153,
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    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -10.477639751552793,
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    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.278933237281581,
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}