Damir Džumhur vs Alexander Shevchenko
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 08:15
13 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Shevchenko
Damir …: 44,8%
Alexander …: 55,2%
¿Por qué Alexander Shevchenko?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Damir … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,23 | 1,81 | 44,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Damir …: -5,2%
Alexander …: +5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14,73 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6308 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4891 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 240,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 22,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,0745 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,1062 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9130 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,1570 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,4776 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,8373 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,9894 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 20,7304 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,7847 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -39,2790 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4949 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3818 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2789 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,1542 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,9489 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1124 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1112 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8,0745 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7871 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22877
API ID
15352641
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22877,
"api_id": 15352641,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"player2": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T04:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.12,
"p2": 1.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4479,
"prob_p2": 0.5521,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5521,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.73,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7870588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.6307692307692307,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 240,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.9894409937888256,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -48.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 22,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.48905182421643,
"rank_advantage": 41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.074534161490682,
"bp_converted_diff": 20.73043478260869,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.156997929606625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.494949494949495,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38181818181818183,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.7846790890269153,
"combined_confidence": 0.7333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.477639751552793,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.278933237281581,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.154176499491529,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.9488656613749002,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.837267080745349,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9130434782608695,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -39.27900000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.074534161490682,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11242857142857138,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11117391304347835,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.106172839506172,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}