Andrea Vavassori vs Gabriel Diallo
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 08:45
13 Ene 2026, 08:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gabriel Diallo
Andrea …: 25,0%
Gabriel …: 75,0%
¿Por qué Gabriel Diallo?
UTR 14,67 vs 15,44
(-1,09)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Andrea … | Gabriel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,40 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,00 | 1,33 | 25,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Andrea …: -6,8%
Gabriel …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Vavassori
Ranking
#291
UTR Rating
14,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#133
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/13 = 61,5%
Gabriel Diallo
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
15,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/36 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -294,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1198 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,1223 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1068,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -95,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,5385 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,5000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3611 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,5385 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,8235 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3558 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,6981 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3934 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,8536 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -8,5628 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0876 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 34,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,5900 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8091 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5413 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1918 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -24,4876 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4094 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2940 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,2594 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22878
API ID
15352645
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22878,
"api_id": 15352645,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Andrea Vavassori",
"player2": "Gabriel Diallo",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T04:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.31,
"p2": 1.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.25,
"prob_p2": 0.75,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.75,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 291,
"utr_singles": 14.67,
"utr_ranking": 133,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 133,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_diff": -1.0899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.11976047904191617,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -1068,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.853632478632463,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 34.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.53846153846154,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -7.259407259407258,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -95,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.122261538862764,
"rank_advantage": -294,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.53846153846154,
"bp_converted_diff": -8.562820512820515,
"p1_surface_matches": 13,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3558119658119665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8091286307053942,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0876068376068373,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.6980769230769113,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.541254557804333,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.191807363955656,
"surface_rank_synergy": -24.487633140724206,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.393376068376071,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3611111111111111,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.58999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.40938461538461546,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29400000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.5000000000000036,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}