Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukic
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 12:00
13 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 75,4%
Aleksandar …: 24,6%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,45 vs 14,77
(+0,80)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Stefanos … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,33 | 4,07 | 75,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Stefanos …: +2,5%
Aleksandar …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking
#35
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/23 = 56,5%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#112
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 53,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5588 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9395 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 687,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,3357 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,6060 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5349 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,1860 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,6809 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,9209 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4123 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8066 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,6703 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,4720 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9636 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,5040 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2295 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1014 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2609 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0849 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7375 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,5900 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0122 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0051 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 12,3357 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7988 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2666 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22879
API ID
15352644
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22879,
"api_id": 15352644,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
"player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.754,
"prob_p2": 0.246,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.754,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 35,
"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 78,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 112,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 43,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 30,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 112,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7988235294117646,
"utr_diff": 0.8000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.5588235294117645,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"points_diff": 687,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.6702730030333583,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.18604651162791,
"utr_advantage": 5.26662277814352,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9395475940384223,
"rank_advantage": 53,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2608695652173913,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.335692618806874,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.4719919110212345,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.9209403437816093,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1014492753623188,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.963599595551063,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.412335692618811,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.084880754044098,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.737548873154549,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.589970320797523,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.680851063829785,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.806572295247719,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5348837209302325,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.50399999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 12.335692618806874,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012217391304347847,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0051395348837209864,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.605988967691099,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}