Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukic
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos …: 75,4% Aleksandar …: 24,6%
¿Por qué Stefanos Tsitsipas?
UTR 15,45 vs 14,77 (+0,80) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefanos … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,33 4,07 75,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Stefanos …: +2,5% Aleksandar …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Ranking #35
UTR Rating 15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #30
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/23 = 56,5%
Aleksandar Vukic
Ranking #78
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #112
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 19/43 = 44,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 53,0000
rank_ratio 2,5588
log_rank_ratio 0,9395
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 687,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,3357
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,6060
surface_matches_ratio 0,5349
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 44,1860
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,6809
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 43,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,9209
first_serve_won_diff 5,4123
second_serve_won_diff 3,8066
bp_saved_diff -1,6703
bp_converted_diff -4,4720
aces_per_match_diff -0,9636
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 10,5040
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2295
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1014
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6154
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2609
serve_consistency_p1 7,0849
serve_consistency_p2 6,7375
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,5900
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0122
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0051
elite_surface_amplifier 12,3357
UTR
utr_diff 0,8000
utr_p1 0,8929
utr_p2 0,7988
utr_advantage 5,2666
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22879
API ID 15352644
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22879,
    "api_id": 15352644,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Stefanos Tsitsipas",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Vukic",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.754,
    "prob_p2": 0.246,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.754,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 35,
      "utr_singles": 15.45,
      "utr_ranking": 30,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 78,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 112,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.18604651162791,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 112,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.8000000000000007,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 687,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.6702730030333583,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 12.335692618806874,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.4719919110212345,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 43,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.9209403437816093,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2295081967213115,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1014492753623188,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.963599595551063,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.412335692618811,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.084880754044098,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.737548873154549,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012217391304347847,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.605988967691099,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}