Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
13 Ene 2026, 14:10
13 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 73,6%
Marie …: 26,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,48
(+0,18)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Marie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,40 | 75,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,40 | 3,05 | 71,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,36 | 3,79 | 73,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: +1,7%
Marie …: -1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,6250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7272 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3048,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 19,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12,5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,1111 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1437 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,9625 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,3750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,9875 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,2750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1250 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,7800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4266 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,3759 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,5903 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2130 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1620 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 25,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,4320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22880
API ID
15328453
Gamdom ID
580621
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22880,
"api_id": 15328453,
"gamdom_id": 580621,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-13T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.05
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 2.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7361,
"prob_p2": 0.2639,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7361,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"rank_ratio": 5.625,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 3048,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.9874999999999972,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": 1.4319809069212386,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 19,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.7272209480904839,
"rank_advantage": 37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.5,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.2749999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.143749999999997,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.125,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.9624999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.426625118302842,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.375932386069197,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.59026185113105,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.375,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.780000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21300000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16199999999999992,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.1111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}