Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
13 Ene 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 73,6% Marie …: 26,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,48 (+0,18) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Marie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,40 75,2%
Gamdom 1,40 3,05 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,36 3,79 73,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: +1,7% Marie …: -1,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37,0000
rank_ratio 5,6250
log_rank_ratio 1,7272
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3048,0000
best_rank_diff 19,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,1111
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,1437
first_serve_won_diff 3,9625
second_serve_won_diff 6,3750
bp_saved_diff 0,9875
bp_converted_diff -2,2750
aces_per_match_diff 1,1250
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,7800
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 7,4266
serve_consistency_p2 14,3759
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,5903
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2130
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1620
elite_surface_amplifier 25,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,5271
utr_advantage 1,4320
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22880
API ID 15328453
Gamdom ID 580621
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22880,
    "api_id": 15328453,
    "gamdom_id": 580621,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-13T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.94
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7361,
    "prob_p2": 0.2639,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7361,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
    "rank_ratio": 5.625,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 3048,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.9874999999999972,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -12.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": 1.4319809069212386,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 19,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7272209480904839,
    "rank_advantage": 37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.2749999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.143749999999997,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.125,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.9624999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.426625118302842,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.375932386069197,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.59026185113105,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.375,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.780000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21300000000000008,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16199999999999992,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.1111111111111,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}