Sam Bakker vs Naoki Nakagawa
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
13 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Naoki Nakagawa
Sam …: 18,0% Naoki …: 82,0%
¿Por qué Naoki Nakagawa?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,50 (-2,58) — Ventaja clara
Sam …
Sin datos
Naoki …
W27-L22
55% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sam … Naoki … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,00 1,03 10,0%
Gamdom 8,40 1,01 11,9%
IA Fair Odds 5,56 1,22 18,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Sam …: +8,6% Naoki …: -8,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sam Bakker
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6530
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Naoki Nakagawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #694
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 6/19 = 31,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sam Bakker
Sin datos UTR v4
Naoki Nakagawa
Record 2025 27W - 22L (55%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,2
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -31,5789
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,1014
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 31,5789
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 34,7826
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -54,2537
first_serve_won_diff -64,7000
second_serve_won_diff -48,1000
bp_saved_diff -68,4000
bp_converted_diff -38,9000
aces_per_match_diff -3,7368
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0667
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 33,3333
momentum_diff 16,6667
weighted_momentum_diff 11,4000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 273,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,2121
serve_consistency_p2 8,1983
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1842
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,5800
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,6565
utr_advantage -20,9927
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22881
API ID 15353231
Gamdom ID 592266
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22881,
    "api_id": 15353231,
    "gamdom_id": 592266,
    "player1": "Sam Bakker",
    "player2": "Naoki Nakagawa",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-13T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.0,
      "p2": 1.0303030303030303
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.4,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.1,
      "p2": 1.03
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1797,
    "prob_p2": 0.8203,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8203,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6530,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.5,
      "utr_ranking": 694,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.10204081632652,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.15,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.19,
          "opponent_name": "Jumpei Yamasaki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yuma Tobe"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Taketo Takamisawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.455042+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 31.57894736842105,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6530,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.5,
      "ranking": 694,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.6564705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -2.58,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -68.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 31.57894736842105,
    "utr_advantage": -20.992676973148903,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 6,
    "surface_wr_diff": -31.57894736842105,
    "bp_converted_diff": -38.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -54.253684210526316,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.736842105263158,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -64.7,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.212135059665426,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.198339492017945,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.78260869565217,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -48.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.399999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 273,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1842105263157895,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.10144927536232,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}