Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Li
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Elisabetta …: 19,7% Ann …: 80,3%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 12,14 vs 12,31 (-0,20) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elisabetta … Ann … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,57 42,0%
Gamdom 2,26 1,67 44,2%
IA Fair Odds 5,07 1,25 19,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Elisabetta …: -20,0% Ann …: +20,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Ann Li
Ranking #38
UTR Rating 12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking #40
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -42,0000
rank_ratio 0,4750
log_rank_ratio -0,7444
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -467,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,9091
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,6979
surface_matches_ratio 0,9091
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 57,5758
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,0588
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,7568
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,3326
first_serve_won_diff -5,1100
second_serve_won_diff -0,0467
bp_saved_diff 1,6600
bp_converted_diff 3,3867
aces_per_match_diff -2,8818
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 42,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 28,4760
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5733
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8624
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 5,4120
serve_consistency_p2 11,4664
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,1212
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0087
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0338
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2000
utr_p1 0,4835
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage -1,6380
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22884
API ID 15328391
Gamdom ID 580578
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22884,
    "api_id": 15328391,
    "gamdom_id": 580578,
    "player1": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "player2": "Ann Li",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.5699999999999998
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.26,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.65
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1974,
    "prob_p2": 0.8026,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8026,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 38,
      "utr_singles": 12.31,
      "utr_ranking": 40,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 40,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
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    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -467,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.6599999999999966,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 42.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6380016380016467,
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    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7444404749474959,
    "rank_advantage": -42,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.909090909090914,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.386666666666663,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.332636363636361,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5733333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.881818181818182,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.109999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.411984387368632,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.466395472673232,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.12116881760905,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.046666666666666856,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9090909090909091,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 28.476000000000013,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008666666666666656,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.033757575757575764,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.697933227344997,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}