Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ann Li
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
14 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ann Li
Elisabetta …: 19,7%
Ann …: 80,3%
¿Por qué Ann Li?
UTR 12,14 vs 12,31
(-0,20)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elisabetta … | Ann … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,57 | 42,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,26 | 1,67 | 44,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 5,07 | 1,25 | 19,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Elisabetta …: -20,0%
Ann …: +20,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Ann Li
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/33 = 57,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7444 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -467,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,9091 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,6979 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9091 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,7568 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 33,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,3326 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,1100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0467 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,6600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,3867 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,8818 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 28,4760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5733 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8624 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4120 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4664 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1212 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0087 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0338 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6380 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22884
API ID
15328391
Gamdom ID
580578
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22884,
"api_id": 15328391,
"gamdom_id": 580578,
"player1": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"player2": "Ann Li",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.38,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.26,
"p2": 1.67
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.2,
"p2": 1.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1974,
"prob_p2": 0.8026,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8026,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.57575757575758,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 0.475,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -467,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.6599999999999966,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.57575757575758,
"utr_advantage": -1.6380016380016467,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7444404749474959,
"rank_advantage": -42,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.909090909090914,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.386666666666663,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 33,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.332636363636361,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5733333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8623853211009175,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.881818181818182,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.109999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.411984387368632,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.466395472673232,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.12116881760905,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.75675675675676,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.046666666666666856,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9090909090909091,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 28.476000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.008666666666666656,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.033757575757575764,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.697933227344997,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}