Arthur Fery vs Bernard Tomic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:00
14 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fery
Arthur …: 73,2%
Bernard …: 26,8%
¿Por qué Arthur Fery?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,41
(+0,42)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Bernard … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,73 | 2,11 | 57,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,73 | 73,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Arthur …: +23,2%
Bernard …: -23,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Fery
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
20/28 = 71,4%
Bernard Tomic
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#208
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
19/38 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0108 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0108 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -168,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 21,4286 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 18,1250 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7368 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,9391 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6034 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7726 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,9530 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5226 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,1050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,7105 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4499 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,2304 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2123 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0020 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7435 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8906 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22885
API ID
15353235
Gamdom ID
592341
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22885,
"api_id": 15353235,
"gamdom_id": 592341,
"player1": "Arthur Fery",
"player2": "Bernard Tomic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.11
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7318,
"prob_p2": 0.2682,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7318,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 208,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.71,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 208,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7435294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 1.0108108108108107,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 1,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7725563909774422,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.890571231933929,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -168,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.010752791776261697,
"rank_advantage": 2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 21.42857142857143,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.953007518796987,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.9390977443609074,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.522556390977443,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.04999999999999716,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.710518960405007,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.449896821847776,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.23041696663417924,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6033834586466114,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7368421052631579,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.10499999999998977,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2122857142857143,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0020000000000000018,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.125,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}