Arthur Fery vs Bernard Tomic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fery
Arthur …: 73,2% Bernard …: 26,8%
¿Por qué Arthur Fery?
UTR 14,71 vs 14,41 (+0,42) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Arthur … Bernard … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,73 2,11 57,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,37 3,73 73,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Arthur …: +23,2% Bernard …: -23,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Fery
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 20/28 = 71,4%
Bernard Tomic
Ranking #185
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #208
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 19/38 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 2,0000
rank_ratio 1,0108
log_rank_ratio 0,0108
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 1,0000
best_rank_diff -168,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 21,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,1250
surface_matches_ratio 0,7368
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,4286
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,9391
first_serve_won_diff 0,0500
second_serve_won_diff 3,6034
bp_saved_diff -1,7726
bp_converted_diff 4,9530
aces_per_match_diff -2,5226
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,1050
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5333
serve_consistency_p1 2,7105
serve_consistency_p2 9,4499
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2304
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2123
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0020
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4200
utr_p1 0,7929
utr_p2 0,7435
utr_advantage 2,8906
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22885
API ID 15353235
Gamdom ID 592341
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22885,
    "api_id": 15353235,
    "gamdom_id": 592341,
    "player1": "Arthur Fery",
    "player2": "Bernard Tomic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.11
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7318,
    "prob_p2": 0.2682,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7318,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 185,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 208,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 208,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7929411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0108108108108107,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 1,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.7725563909774422,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.890571231933929,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -168,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.010752791776261697,
    "rank_advantage": 2,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 21.42857142857143,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.953007518796987,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.9390977443609074,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.522556390977443,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.04999999999999716,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.710518960405007,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.449896821847776,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.23041696663417924,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6033834586466114,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7368421052631579,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.10499999999998977,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2122857142857143,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0020000000000000018,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.125,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}