Brandon Holt vs Giulio Zeppieri
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Brandon …: 36,9%
Giulio …: 63,1%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,36 vs 14,62
(-0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Giulio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,60 | 1,50 | 38,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,71 | 1,58 | 36,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Brandon …: -2,4%
Giulio …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Holt
Ranking
#109
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#220
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
37/58 = 63,8%
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
25/38 = 65,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4037 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3391 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 151,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,9964 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,3825 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5263 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,7931 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,7895 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9032 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2759 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,4160 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,4691 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,7081 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,1031 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,7193 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0345 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,6290 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3953 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5789 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2536 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8391 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,6769 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0939 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2019 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,0704 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22887
API ID
15352630
Gamdom ID
591898
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22887,
"api_id": 15352630,
"gamdom_id": 591898,
"player1": "Brandon Holt",
"player2": "Giulio Zeppieri",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.6,
"p2": 1.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.53,
"p2": 1.49
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3687,
"prob_p2": 0.6313,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6313,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 109,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 220,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.793103448275865,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 14.62,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.36,
"ranking": 220,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.62,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.4036697247706422,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 151,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.10308529945555,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.793103448275865,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.78947368421053,
"utr_advantage": -2.0703933747412058,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3390900391632918,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5789473684210527,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.9963702359346698,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.719328493647922,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.415961887477316,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3953488372093023,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0344827586206895,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.46914700544464,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.27586206896551724,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.25359821369335,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.839110230060847,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.6769492614875172,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.903225806451616,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.28571428571429,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.7080762250453745,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5263157894736843,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.629000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09393103448275864,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20189473684210535,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3824884792626762,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}