Brandon Holt vs Giulio Zeppieri
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Giulio Zeppieri
Brandon …: 36,9% Giulio …: 63,1%
¿Por qué Giulio Zeppieri?
UTR 14,36 vs 14,62 (-0,30) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Brandon … Giulio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,38 1,53 42,1%
Gamdom 2,60 1,50 38,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,71 1,58 36,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Brandon …: -2,4% Giulio …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Holt
Ranking #109
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #220
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 37/58 = 63,8%
Giulio Zeppieri
Ranking #156
UTR Rating 14,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/38 = 65,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 44,0000
rank_ratio 1,4037
log_rank_ratio 0,3391
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 151,0000
best_rank_diff 11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,9964
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,3825
surface_matches_ratio 1,5263
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,7931
surface_wr_p2 65,7895
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,9032
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,2857
p1_surface_matches 58,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2759
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,4160
first_serve_won_diff -4,4691
second_serve_won_diff -3,7081
bp_saved_diff -11,1031
bp_converted_diff 5,7193
aces_per_match_diff -3,0345
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,6290
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3953
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5789
serve_consistency_p1 7,2536
serve_consistency_p2 6,8391
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,6769
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0939
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2019
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3000
utr_p1 0,7459
utr_p2 0,7812
utr_advantage -2,0704
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22887
API ID 15352630
Gamdom ID 591898
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22887,
    "api_id": 15352630,
    "gamdom_id": 591898,
    "player1": "Brandon Holt",
    "player2": "Giulio Zeppieri",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.375,
      "p2": 1.5333333333333332
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.6,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.53,
      "p2": 1.49
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3687,
    "prob_p2": 0.6313,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6313,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 109,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 220,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.793103448275865,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 58,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 156,
      "utr_singles": 14.62,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.78947368421053,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 220,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.62,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_diff": -0.3000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4036697247706422,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 151,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.10308529945555,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.793103448275865,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.78947368421053,
    "utr_advantage": -2.0703933747412058,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3390900391632918,
    "rank_advantage": 44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5789473684210527,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.9963702359346698,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.719328493647922,
    "p1_surface_matches": 58,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.415961887477316,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.3953488372093023,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0344827586206895,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.46914700544464,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.27586206896551724,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.25359821369335,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.839110230060847,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.6769492614875172,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.903225806451616,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.28571428571429,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.7080762250453745,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5263157894736843,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.629000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09393103448275864,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20189473684210535,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.3824884792626762,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}