Daniil Glinka vs Luca Van Assche
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:25
14 Ene 2026, 08:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Glinka
Daniil …: 64,6%
Luca …: 35,4%
¿Por qué Daniil Glinka?
UTR 14,44 vs 14,81
(-0,23)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,65 | 1,48 | 37,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,55 | 2,83 | 64,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniil …: +29,1%
Luca …: -29,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Glinka
Ranking
#200
UTR Rating
14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#186
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
30/40 = 75,0%
Luca Van Assche
Ranking
#165
UTR Rating
14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#108
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
13/26 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8367 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1782 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -55,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -128,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 21,2121 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,4918 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,6892 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,8623 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,8677 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,1831 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2442 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9855 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,4562 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2820 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0320 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7918 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,5737 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22888
API ID
15352934
Gamdom ID
592299
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22888,
"api_id": 15352934,
"gamdom_id": 592299,
"player1": "Daniil Glinka",
"player2": "Luca Van Assche",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.58,
"p2": 1.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6464,
"prob_p2": 0.3536,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6464,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 200,
"utr_singles": 14.44,
"utr_ranking": 186,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 165,
"utr_singles": 14.81,
"utr_ranking": 108,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.44,
"ranking": 186,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.81,
"ranking": 108,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
"rank_ratio": 0.8367346938775511,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -55,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.867692307692295,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -1.5737256243585387,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -128,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.17824823140631876,
"rank_advantage": -32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.183076923076925,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.491769230769243,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.244230769230769,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.6892307692307753,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.33326780182597,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.9855357883723705,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.4562057851579695,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.862307692307702,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5384615384615385,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.200000000000017,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.28200000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03200000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.212121212121218,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}