Daniil Glinka vs Luca Van Assche
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Daniil Glinka
Daniil …: 64,6% Luca …: 35,4%
¿Por qué Daniil Glinka?
UTR 14,44 vs 14,81 (-0,23) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,65 1,48 37,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,83 64,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Daniil …: +29,1% Luca …: -29,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Glinka
Ranking #200
UTR Rating 14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #186
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 30/40 = 75,0%
Luca Van Assche
Ranking #165
UTR Rating 14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #108
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 13/26 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -32,0000
rank_ratio 0,8367
log_rank_ratio -0,1782
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -55,0000
best_rank_diff -128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 21,2121
surface_matches_ratio 1,5385
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,4918
first_serve_won_diff 3,6892
second_serve_won_diff 3,8623
bp_saved_diff 7,8677
bp_converted_diff -9,1831
aces_per_match_diff 3,2442
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,2000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 8,3333
serve_consistency_p2 7,9855
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,4562
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2820
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0320
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2300
utr_p1 0,7647
utr_p2 0,7918
utr_advantage -1,5737
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22888
API ID 15352934
Gamdom ID 592299
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22888,
    "api_id": 15352934,
    "gamdom_id": 592299,
    "player1": "Daniil Glinka",
    "player2": "Luca Van Assche",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.58,
      "p2": 1.47
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6464,
    "prob_p2": 0.3536,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6464,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 200,
      "utr_singles": 14.44,
      "utr_ranking": 186,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 30,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 165,
      "utr_singles": 14.81,
      "utr_ranking": 108,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.44,
      "ranking": 186,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.81,
      "ranking": 108,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.791764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8367346938775511,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -55,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.867692307692295,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.5737256243585387,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.17824823140631876,
    "rank_advantage": -32,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.183076923076925,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 9.491769230769243,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.244230769230769,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.6892307692307753,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.33326780182597,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.9855357883723705,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.4562057851579695,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.862307692307702,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5384615384615385,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.200000000000017,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.28200000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03200000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 21.212121212121218,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}