Gonzalo Bueno vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:40
14 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gonzalo …: 27,8%
Pierre-Hugues …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Gonzalo … | Pierre-Hugues … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,75 | 1,46 | 36,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,59 | 1,39 | 27,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Gonzalo …: -7,7%
Pierre-Hugues …: +7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking
#215
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking
#157
UTR Rating
14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#187
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/27 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -60,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7196 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3290 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -169,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,9677 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56,4516 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,8387 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -72,0233 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -76,4444 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -53,4111 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -69,7556 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -34,6222 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -8,8889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,2700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,4729 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4526 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,2791 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0044 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22889
API ID
15352806
Gamdom ID
592247
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22889,
"api_id": 15352806,
"gamdom_id": 592247,
"player1": "Gonzalo Bueno",
"player2": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.65,
"p2": 1.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2782,
"prob_p2": 0.7218,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7218,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 215,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 157,
"utr_singles": 14.43,
"utr_ranking": 187,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.43,
"ranking": 187,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.719626168224299,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -128,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -69.75555555555555,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -169,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3290234126082224,
"rank_advantage": -60,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
"bp_converted_diff": -34.62222222222223,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -72.02333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -8.88888888888889,
"combined_confidence": 0.6,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -76.44444444444444,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.472860405951069,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.452575664504864,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.279078478234577,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.451612903225815,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.83870967741935,
"second_serve_won_diff": -53.41111111111112,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2700000000000102,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43999999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004444444444444473,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9677419354838775,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}