Gonzalo Bueno vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gonzalo …: 27,8% Pierre-Hugues …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Pierre-Hugues Herbert?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Gonzalo … Pierre-Hugues … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,75 1,46 36,4%
IA Fair Odds 3,59 1,39 27,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Gonzalo …: -7,7% Pierre-Hugues …: +7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking #215
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Ranking #157
UTR Rating 14,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #187
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/27 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -60,0000
rank_ratio 0,7196
log_rank_ratio -0,3290
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -128,0000
best_rank_diff -169,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,9677
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,4516
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,8387
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,6000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -72,0233
first_serve_won_diff -76,4444
second_serve_won_diff -53,4111
bp_saved_diff -69,7556
bp_converted_diff -34,6222
aces_per_match_diff -8,8889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,2700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,4729
serve_consistency_p2 6,4526
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 18,2791
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4400
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0044
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7612
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22889
API ID 15352806
Gamdom ID 592247
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22889,
    "api_id": 15352806,
    "gamdom_id": 592247,
    "player1": "Gonzalo Bueno",
    "player2": "Pierre-Hugues Herbert",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2782,
    "prob_p2": 0.7218,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7218,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 215,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 157,
      "utr_singles": 14.43,
      "utr_ranking": 187,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.43,
      "ranking": 187,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.719626168224299,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -128,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -69.75555555555555,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -169,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3290234126082224,
    "rank_advantage": -60,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": -34.62222222222223,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": -72.02333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -8.88888888888889,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -76.44444444444444,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.472860405951069,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.452575664504864,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 18.279078478234577,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.451612903225815,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.83870967741935,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -53.41111111111112,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2700000000000102,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43999999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.004444444444444473,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.9677419354838775,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}