Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungelliti
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Henrique Rocha
Henrique …: 53,2% Marco …: 46,8%
¿Por qué Henrique Rocha?
UTR 14,25 vs 14,48 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Henrique … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,54 2,48 64,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,88 2,14 53,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Henrique …: -7,6% Marco …: +7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Henrique Rocha
Ranking #158
UTR Rating 14,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #261
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 16/25 = 64,0%
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking #130
UTR Rating 14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #180
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/9 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -27,0000
rank_ratio 0,8280
log_rank_ratio -0,1887
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -74,0000
best_rank_diff -37,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,9864
surface_matches_ratio 2,7778
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 64,0000
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,0690
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,7289
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2800
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,6267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,0174
first_serve_won_diff -1,7489
second_serve_won_diff -2,5653
bp_saved_diff -2,5911
bp_converted_diff 16,0924
aces_per_match_diff -0,1867
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,6510
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 8,2742
serve_consistency_p2 2,3813
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,6904
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1670
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0826
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,7353
utr_p2 0,7635
utr_advantage -1,6701
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22890
API ID 15352629
Gamdom ID 591896
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22890,
    "api_id": 15352629,
    "gamdom_id": 591896,
    "player1": "Henrique Rocha",
    "player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.532,
    "prob_p2": 0.468,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.532,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 158,
      "utr_singles": 14.25,
      "utr_ranking": 261,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 130,
      "utr_singles": 14.48,
      "utr_ranking": 180,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.25,
      "ranking": 261,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.48,
      "ranking": 180,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7352941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.7635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8280254777070064,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -74,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.591111111111104,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 64.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6701461377870577,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -37,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.18871135489272559,
    "rank_advantage": -27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": 16.092444444444443,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.0173777777777815,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.18666666666666654,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.7488888888888852,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.28,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.27423734918853,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.38130342642425,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.690355384568856,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.06896551724138,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.72893772893773,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.5653333333333492,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.7777777777777777,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.650999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16700000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0825555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.98641741400362,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}