Tristan Boyer vs Francesco Passaro
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesco Passaro
Tristan …: 34,0% Francesco …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Francesco Passaro?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,41 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tristan … Francesco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,09 1,75 47,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,94 1,51 34,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tristan …: -12,4% Francesco …: +12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Boyer
Ranking #181
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #242
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 12/23 = 52,2%
Francesco Passaro
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #198
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,7865
log_rank_ratio -0,2401
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -110,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -12,1118
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,0509
surface_matches_ratio 0,8214
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,1739
surface_wr_p2 64,2857
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,8519
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,5000
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0435
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,8500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,0270
first_serve_won_diff -6,0696
second_serve_won_diff -5,6056
bp_saved_diff -6,2453
bp_converted_diff -5,1478
aces_per_match_diff -4,6553
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -21,8800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7092
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8333
serve_consistency_p1 3,4406
serve_consistency_p2 9,2877
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,9085
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0597
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1049
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,7388
utr_p2 0,7565
utr_advantage -1,0449
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22892
API ID 15352706
Gamdom ID 591918
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22892,
    "api_id": 15352706,
    "gamdom_id": 591918,
    "player1": "Tristan Boyer",
    "player2": "Francesco Passaro",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.09,
      "p2": 1.75
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.05,
      "p2": 1.73
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3398,
    "prob_p2": 0.6602,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6602,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 181,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 242,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 198,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 242,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 198,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7865168539325843,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -110,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.24534161490682,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
    "utr_advantage": -1.0449320794148405,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.24014112768278081,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -12.111801242236034,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.1478260869565275,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.02701863354038,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.72,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7092198581560284,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.655279503105591,
    "combined_confidence": 0.85,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.0695652173913,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.440623795525743,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.28768109109592,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.9085416085802667,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.85185185185185,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.6055900621118155,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8214285714285714,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.880000000000017,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05973913043478263,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10485714285714287,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.05092592592593,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}