Tristan Boyer vs Francesco Passaro
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:00
14 Ene 2026, 08:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francesco Passaro
Tristan …: 34,0%
Francesco …: 66,0%
¿Por qué Francesco Passaro?
UTR 14,33 vs 14,41
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tristan … | Francesco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,09 | 1,75 | 47,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,94 | 1,51 | 34,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tristan …: -12,4%
Francesco …: +12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tristan Boyer
Ranking
#181
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#242
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
12/23 = 52,2%
Francesco Passaro
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7865 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2401 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -110,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,1118 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,0509 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8214 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,1739 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,0270 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,0696 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,6056 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,2453 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,1478 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,6553 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,8800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7092 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,4406 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2877 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,9085 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0597 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1049 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7565 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0449 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22892
API ID
15352706
Gamdom ID
591918
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22892,
"api_id": 15352706,
"gamdom_id": 591918,
"player1": "Tristan Boyer",
"player2": "Francesco Passaro",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.09,
"p2": 1.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.05,
"p2": 1.73
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3398,
"prob_p2": 0.6602,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6602,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 181,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 242,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.33,
"ranking": 242,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.7564705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.7865168539325843,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -110,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.24534161490682,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -28.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.17391304347826,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.28571428571429,
"utr_advantage": -1.0449320794148405,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.24014112768278081,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8333333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.111801242236034,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.1478260869565275,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.02701863354038,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.72,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7092198581560284,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.655279503105591,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.0695652173913,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.043478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.440623795525743,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.28768109109592,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.9085416085802667,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.6055900621118155,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8214285714285714,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.880000000000017,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05973913043478263,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10485714285714287,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.05092592592593,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}