Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kathinka von Deichmann
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:00
14 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Aliaksandra …: 82,5%
Kathinka …: 17,5%
¿Por qué Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
UTR 12,29 vs 11,18
(+0,88)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aliaksandra … | Kathinka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,03 | 15,00 | 97,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,04 | 13,00 | 96,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,21 | 5,71 | 82,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Aliaksandra …: -11,1%
Kathinka …: +11,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
12,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Kathinka von Deichmann
Ranking
#258
UTR Rating
11,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#399
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 156,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5294 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9280 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 477,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 124,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,9990 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,7500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 39,7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,3861 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,0613 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3742 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4419 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,0516 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9839 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 30,2250 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5745 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,4285 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,0351 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,7029 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1721 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0940 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 23,3871 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4871 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3835 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,5214 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22893
API ID
15352802
Gamdom ID
592248
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22893,
"api_id": 15352802,
"gamdom_id": 592248,
"player1": "Aliaksandra Sasnovich",
"player2": "Kathinka von Deichmann",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0303030303030303,
"p2": 15.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 13.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.04,
"p2": 11.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8248,
"prob_p2": 0.1752,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8248,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 258,
"utr_singles": 11.18,
"utr_ranking": 399,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.18,
"ranking": 399,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.38352941176470584,
"utr_diff": 0.8800000000000008,
"rank_ratio": 2.5294117647058822,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 477,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.441935483870971,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
"surface_wr_p2": 25.0,
"utr_advantage": 7.521367521367528,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 124,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9279867716373463,
"rank_advantage": 156,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.38709677419355,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.051612903225802,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 4,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.3861290322580615,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.574468085106383,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9838709677419355,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.061290322580646,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.42846253906502,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.035070497011834,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.70291643345407,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 39.705882352941174,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3741935483871046,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.75,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 30.225000000000016,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 23.38709677419355,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.17212903225806453,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09399999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.999019607843137,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}