Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales vs Tatiana Prozorova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Guiomar …: 33,3%
Tatiana …: 66,7%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Guiomar … | Tatiana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,22 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,30 | 1,24 | 23,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,00 | 1,50 | 33,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Guiomar …: +9,9%
Tatiana …: -9,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Ranking
#185
UTR Rating
11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
1/3 = 33,3%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking
#174
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -11,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9402 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0616 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -17,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,2121 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,4488 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2727 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 34,3956 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8521 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6061 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,8610 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,3557 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,1777 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3076 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1557 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0345 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4271 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22894
API ID
15352625
Gamdom ID
591889
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22894,
"api_id": 15352625,
"gamdom_id": 591889,
"player1": "Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales",
"player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.2222222222222223
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.24
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.09,
"p2": 1.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3332,
"prob_p2": 0.6668,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6668,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 185,
"utr_singles": 11.63,
"utr_ranking": 204,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.63,
"ranking": 204,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9402173913043478,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": -17,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.800000000000004,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -21.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.06164416311120672,
"rank_advantage": -11,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.21212121212121,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.800000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.852121212121212,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6060606060606061,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.355719517950879,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.17774924578237,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.307603459934688,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.395604395604394,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.700000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2727272727272727,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.86100000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15566666666666673,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.034454545454545404,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.44884004884005,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}