Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales vs Tatiana Prozorova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tatiana Prozorova
Guiomar …: 33,3% Tatiana …: 66,7%
¿Por qué Tatiana Prozorova?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Guiomar … Tatiana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,22 25,0%
Gamdom 4,30 1,24 23,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,00 1,50 33,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Guiomar …: +9,9% Tatiana …: -9,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales
Ranking #185
UTR Rating 11,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #204
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 1/3 = 33,3%
Tatiana Prozorova
Ranking #174
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/11 = 54,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -11,0000
rank_ratio 0,9402
log_rank_ratio -0,0616
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -17,0000
best_rank_diff -28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,2121
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,4488
surface_matches_ratio 0,2727
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 54,5455
surface_wr_p1_stable 34,3956
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,3933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,8521
first_serve_won_diff -12,5000
second_serve_won_diff 8,7000
bp_saved_diff -7,8000
bp_converted_diff 7,8000
aces_per_match_diff -0,6061
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,8610
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,3557
serve_consistency_p2 3,1777
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,3076
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1557
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0345
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4271
utr_p2 0,4271
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22894
API ID 15352625
Gamdom ID 591889
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22894,
    "api_id": 15352625,
    "gamdom_id": 591889,
    "player1": "Guiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales",
    "player2": "Tatiana Prozorova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.2222222222222223
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.09,
      "p2": 1.22
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3332,
    "prob_p2": 0.6668,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6668,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 185,
      "utr_singles": 11.63,
      "utr_ranking": 204,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 3,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.63,
      "ranking": 204,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_p2": 0.4270588235294119,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9402173913043478,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -17,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.800000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -21.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 54.54545454545454,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.06164416311120672,
    "rank_advantage": -11,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.21212121212121,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.800000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.852121212121212,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6060606060606061,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.355719517950879,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.17774924578237,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.307603459934688,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.395604395604394,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.700000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2727272727272727,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.86100000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15566666666666673,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.034454545454545404,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.44884004884005,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}