Rebeka Masarova vs Maja Chwalinska
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:50
14 Ene 2026, 04:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka …: 61,4%
Maja …: 38,6%
¿Por qué Rebeka Masarova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,04
(+0,14)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebeka … | Maja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,82 | 2,04 | 54,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,63 | 2,59 | 61,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rebeka …: +7,7%
Maja …: -7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebeka Masarova
Ranking
#115
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Maja Chwalinska
Ranking
#145
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2522 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2249 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 59,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,3889 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,6217 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5906 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,7397 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 12,4333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7750 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,0333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0278 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,8550 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7619 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3846 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6884 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 15,5729 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,3123 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0127 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0846 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4812 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,1513 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22896
API ID
15352803
Gamdom ID
592249
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22896,
"api_id": 15352803,
"gamdom_id": 592249,
"player1": "Rebeka Masarova",
"player2": "Maja Chwalinska",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.82,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 1.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6139,
"prob_p2": 0.3861,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6139,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 115,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 145,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 93,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
"utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 1.2521739130434784,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 155,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.033333333333339,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 1.1513157894736887,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 59,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.22488117121275064,
"rank_advantage": 29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.3888888888888928,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.15000000000000568,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.73972222222222,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7619047619047619,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.027777777777779,
"combined_confidence": 0.61,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 12.43333333333333,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.688388611053472,
"serve_consistency_p2": 15.572868587607845,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.3123349600177101,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.59057071960297,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7750000000000057,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.854999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012666666666666604,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0845555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6216767103863858,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}