Rebeka Masarova vs Maja Chwalinska
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 04:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka …: 61,4% Maja …: 38,6%
¿Por qué Rebeka Masarova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,04 (+0,14) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rebeka … Maja … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,82 2,04 54,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,63 2,59 61,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Rebeka …: +7,7% Maja …: -7,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebeka Masarova
Ranking #115
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #67
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 13/24 = 54,2%
Maja Chwalinska
Ranking #145
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 29,0000
rank_ratio 1,2522
log_rank_ratio 0,2249
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 155,0000
best_rank_diff 59,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,3889
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,6217
surface_matches_ratio 2,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,1667
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5906
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,6100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 15,7397
first_serve_won_diff 12,4333
second_serve_won_diff -1,7750
bp_saved_diff 10,0333
bp_converted_diff -0,1500
aces_per_match_diff 5,0278
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,8550
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7619
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3846
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6884
serve_consistency_p2 15,5729
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,3123
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0127
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0846
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1400
utr_p1 0,4976
utr_p2 0,4812
utr_advantage 1,1513
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22896
API ID 15352803
Gamdom ID 592249
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22896,
    "api_id": 15352803,
    "gamdom_id": 592249,
    "player1": "Rebeka Masarova",
    "player2": "Maja Chwalinska",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 2.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.79,
      "p2": 1.96
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6139,
    "prob_p2": 0.3861,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6139,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 115,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 67,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 145,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 67,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
    "utr_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2521739130434784,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 155,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.033333333333339,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -20.000000000000007,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.166666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 1.1513157894736887,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 59,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.22488117121275064,
    "rank_advantage": 29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.3888888888888928,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.15000000000000568,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": 15.73972222222222,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7619047619047619,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.027777777777779,
    "combined_confidence": 0.61,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 12.43333333333333,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.688388611053472,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 15.572868587607845,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.3123349600177101,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.59057071960297,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.7750000000000057,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.854999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.012666666666666604,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0845555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.6216767103863858,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}