Janos Fekete vs Naoki Nakagawa
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard |
14 Ene 2026, 05:00
14 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Naoki Nakagawa
Janos …: 22,1%
Naoki …: 77,9%
¿Por qué Naoki Nakagawa?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,50
(-1,58)
— Ligera ventaja
Janos …
W93-L38
71% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Naoki …
W27-L22
55% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Janos … | Naoki … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,31 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,52 | 1,28 | 22,1% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Janos Fekete
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#1708
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Naoki Nakagawa
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#694
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
6/19 = 31,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Janos Fekete
Record 2025
93W - 38L (71%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,1
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Naoki Nakagawa
Record 2025
27W - 22L (55%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Naoki Nakagawa ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,2 vs 12,1).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31,5789 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,1014 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 31,5789 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 34,7826 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -54,2537 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -64,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -48,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -68,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -38,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,7368 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_diff | 66,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 48,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 274,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,1983 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1842 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6565 | |
| utr_advantage | -12,3534 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22898
API ID
15353230
Gamdom ID
592273
Torneo
UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22898,
"api_id": 15353230,
"gamdom_id": 592273,
"player1": "Janos Fekete",
"player2": "Naoki Nakagawa",
"tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-14T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.31
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.31
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2212,
"prob_p2": 0.7788,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7788,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1708,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 93,
"utr_v4_losses": 38,
"utr_v4_wr": 70.99236641221374,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.13,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.42,
"opponent_name": "Maxence Beauge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.35,
"opponent_name": "Arijan Kaliterna"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.09,
"opponent_name": "Igor Mandou Berranger"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "James Pikkaart"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Bas Bouwman"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:50.817254+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.5,
"utr_ranking": 694,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.10204081632652,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.15,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.19,
"opponent_name": "Jumpei Yamasaki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Yuma Tobe"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Taketo Takamisawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.4,
"opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.455042+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 31.57894736842105,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1708,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.5,
"ranking": 694,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.6564705882352941,
"utr_diff": -1.58,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -68.4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 66.66666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 31.57894736842105,
"utr_advantage": -12.353401094605161,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.57894736842105,
"bp_converted_diff": -38.9,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"serve_quality_diff": -54.253684210526316,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.736842105263158,
"combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -64.7,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.198339492017945,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 34.78260869565217,
"second_serve_won_diff": -48.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 48.9,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 274,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1842105263157895,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.10144927536232,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}