Vitaliy Sachko vs Viktor Durasovic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 1
13 Ene 2026, 09:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vitaliy Sachko
Vitaliy …: 62,9% Viktor …: 37,1%
¿Por qué Vitaliy Sachko?
UTR 14,19 vs 14,00 (+0,16) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitaliy … Viktor … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,38 65,2%
Gamdom 1,56 2,43 64,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,69 62,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Vitaliy …: +2,1% Viktor …: -2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitaliy Sachko
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #288
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Viktor Durasovic
Ranking #329
UTR Rating 14,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #382
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 23/41 = 56,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 74,0000
rank_ratio 1,4458
log_rank_ratio 0,3687
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 117,0000
best_rank_diff 66,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,2514
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,0741
surface_matches_ratio 0,6341
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 56,0976
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,5556
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4032
first_serve_won_diff -1,7383
second_serve_won_diff -0,3419
bp_saved_diff 1,0837
bp_converted_diff 1,3529
aces_per_match_diff -1,7158
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,4200
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 67,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 8,0596
serve_consistency_p2 5,6367
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,8300
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0355
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1350
elite_surface_amplifier -2,2514
UTR
utr_diff 0,1600
utr_p1 0,7294
utr_p2 0,7106
utr_advantage 1,1331
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22907
API ID 15357743
Gamdom ID 593013
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22907,
    "api_id": 15357743,
    "gamdom_id": 593013,
    "player1": "Vitaliy Sachko",
    "player2": "Viktor Durasovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-13T05:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5333333333333332,
      "p2": 2.375
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.56,
      "p2": 2.43
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.55,
      "p2": 2.39
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6288,
    "prob_p2": 0.3712,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6288,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 288,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 329,
      "utr_singles": 14.0,
      "utr_ranking": 382,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.09756097560976,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 288,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.0,
      "ranking": 382,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.7105882352941175,
    "utr_diff": 0.16000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4457831325301205,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 117,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.08367729831145,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -27.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.09756097560976,
    "utr_advantage": 1.133144475920681,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 66,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.36865113498544805,
    "rank_advantage": 74,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -2.251407129455913,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.3529080675422165,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.4032363977486,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7157598499061915,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.7382739212007579,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.059606474002008,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.6366603535469135,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.8299837935882519,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3419324577861147,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6341463414634146,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.419999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -2.251407129455913,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 67,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03553846153846163,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13497560975609768,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.0740740740740735,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}