Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Jaume …: 62,7% Francisco …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,56 vs 15,35 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jaume … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,68 62,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Jaume …: +10,1% Francisco …: -10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaume Munar
Ranking #39
UTR Rating 15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking #21
UTR Rating 15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/25 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -17,0000
rank_ratio 0,5526
log_rank_ratio -0,5931
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -740,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,3242
surface_matches_ratio 1,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,6207
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,1349
first_serve_won_diff 4,0200
second_serve_won_diff -0,0600
bp_saved_diff -1,1857
bp_converted_diff -3,6286
aces_per_match_diff -0,4286
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -7,6000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 75,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7391
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7273
serve_consistency_p1 10,7915
serve_consistency_p2 8,5608
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1170
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0830
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,9071
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 1,6688
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22908
API ID 15327355
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22908,
    "api_id": 15327355,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jaume Munar",
    "player2": "Francisco Cerundolo",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6273,
    "prob_p2": 0.3727,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6273,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 39,
      "utr_singles": 15.56,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 21,
      "utr_singles": 15.35,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.35,
      "ranking": 43,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
    "utr_diff": 0.26000000000000156,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5526315789473685,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -740,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.1857142857142833,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.668806161745838,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5930637220029626,
    "rank_advantage": -17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7272727272727273,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.6285714285714334,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.1348571428571361,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.4285714285714288,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.019999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.791490826981763,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.56079503685076,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.620689655172406,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.6000000000000085,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 75,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11699999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08299999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3241968759210246,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}