Jaume Munar vs Francisco Cerundolo
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jaume Munar
Jaume …: 62,7%
Francisco …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Jaume Munar?
UTR 15,56 vs 15,35
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jaume … | Francisco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,68 | 62,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jaume …: +10,1%
Francisco …: -10,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jaume Munar
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/25 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5526 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -740,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,3242 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,6207 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,1349 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,1857 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6286 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4286 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7273 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,7915 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5608 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1170 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0830 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,6688 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22908
API ID
15327355
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22908,
"api_id": 15327355,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jaume Munar",
"player2": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.65,
"p2": 2.2
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6273,
"prob_p2": 0.3727,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6273,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_diff": 0.26000000000000156,
"rank_ratio": 0.5526315789473685,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -740,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.1857142857142833,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.668806161745838,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5930637220029626,
"rank_advantage": -17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7272727272727273,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.6285714285714334,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.1348571428571361,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8608695652173913,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7391304347826086,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4285714285714288,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.019999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.791490826981763,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.56079503685076,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.620689655172406,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.6000000000000085,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 75,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11699999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08299999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.3241968759210246,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}