Tallon Griekspoor vs Ugo Humbert
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Tallon …: 39,2% Ugo …: 60,8%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,27 vs 15,43 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tallon … Ugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,20 1,67 45,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,55 1,64 39,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Tallon …: -4,0% Ugo …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking #33
UTR Rating 15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #38
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 11,0000
rank_ratio 1,4400
log_rank_ratio 0,3646
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 210,0000
best_rank_diff -8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,6819
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,8341
surface_matches_ratio 1,0690
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 62,0690
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,6061
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,3303
first_serve_won_diff -0,5580
second_serve_won_diff -2,8226
bp_saved_diff 4,5648
bp_converted_diff -9,3204
aces_per_match_diff 1,2280
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,1900
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7363
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7136
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6522
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 7,1462
serve_consistency_p2 5,1451
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,9890
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0271
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1317
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8765
utr_p2 0,8765
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22909
API ID 15327347
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22909,
    "api_id": 15327347,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "player2": "Ugo Humbert",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.2,
      "p2": 1.67
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.46,
      "p2": 1.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3919,
    "prob_p2": 0.6081,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6081,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.27,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 33,
      "utr_singles": 15.43,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
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      "wr_surface_total": 29,
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
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      "division": "Pro",
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "points_diff": 210,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.564849833147946,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -9.320355951056722,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 1.3303114571746448,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7362637362637363,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7135678391959799,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.2280311457174635,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.5579532814238064,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.146168106487575,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.988999218166055,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.83405483405484,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}