Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastián Báez
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:15
14 Ene 2026, 04:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jenson Brooksby
Jenson …: 66,1%
Sebastián …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Jenson Brooksby?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jenson … | Sebastián … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,38 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,51 | 2,95 | 66,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jenson …: +5,8%
Sebastián …: -5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jenson Brooksby
Ranking
#48
UTR Rating
15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#47
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/23 = 43,5%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking
#36
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8776 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1306 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -128,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 22,0497 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,4444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43,4783 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 21,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 27,7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,6794 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5528 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,9292 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,7199 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,5665 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,3385 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -34,5450 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9576 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5441 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9184 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2702 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,8801 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0592 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2917 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8741 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22910
API ID
15327183
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22910,
"api_id": 15327183,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jenson Brooksby",
"player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5699999999999998,
"p2": 2.38
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6606,
"prob_p2": 0.3394,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6606,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 48,
"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 47,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 36,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 47,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8741176470588234,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.8775510204081632,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -128,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.719875776397515,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -49.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 43.47826086956522,
"surface_wr_p2": 21.428571428571427,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13062018241706422,
"rank_advantage": -6,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 22.04968944099379,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.5664596273291878,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.679378881987567,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9576271186440678,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5441176470588235,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.3385093167701863,
"combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.552795031055922,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13043478260869565,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.918404978231448,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.270204419603959,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.8801344570222236,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.929192546583856,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6428571428571428,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -34.545,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05921739130434783,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2917142857142857,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.444444444444443,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}