Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastián Báez
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jenson Brooksby
Jenson …: 66,1% Sebastián …: 33,9%
¿Por qué Jenson Brooksby?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jenson … Sebastián … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,38 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,51 2,95 66,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Jenson …: +5,8% Sebastián …: -5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jenson Brooksby
Ranking #48
UTR Rating 15,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #47
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 10/23 = 43,5%
Sebastián Báez
Ranking #36
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/14 = 21,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -6,0000
rank_ratio 0,8776
log_rank_ratio -0,1306
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -128,0000
best_rank_diff -15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 22,0497
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,4444
surface_matches_ratio 1,6429
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 43,4783
surface_wr_p2 21,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 27,7778
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,6267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,6794
first_serve_won_diff -0,5528
second_serve_won_diff 0,9292
bp_saved_diff 8,7199
bp_converted_diff -1,5665
aces_per_match_diff 2,3385
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -34,5450
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9576
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5441
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9184
serve_consistency_p2 6,2702
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,8801
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0592
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2917
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8741
utr_p2 0,8741
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22910
API ID 15327183
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22910,
    "api_id": 15327183,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jenson Brooksby",
    "player2": "Sebasti\u00e1n B\u00e1ez",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5699999999999998,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6606,
    "prob_p2": 0.3394,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6606,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 48,
      "utr_singles": 15.32,
      "utr_ranking": 47,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.47826086956522,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 36,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 47,
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      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -128,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.719875776397515,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -49.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 43.47826086956522,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "rank_advantage": -6,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -1.5664596273291878,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.679378881987567,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9576271186440678,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5441176470588235,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3385093167701863,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.552795031055922,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.918404978231448,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.270204419603959,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.8801344570222236,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 27.77777777777778,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.929192546583856,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6428571428571428,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05921739130434783,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2917142857142857,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.444444444444443,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}