Antonia Ružić vs Solana Sierra
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Antonia …: 58,7% Solana …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Antonia … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,70 2,42 58,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Antonia …: -4,9% Solana …: +4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Antonia Ružić
Ranking #65
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/32 = 56,3%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -7,0000
rank_ratio 0,9014
log_rank_ratio -0,1038
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -76,0000
best_rank_diff -5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 13,3929
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,2593
surface_matches_ratio 2,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,2500
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,4444
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 14,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1250
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4867
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8258
first_serve_won_diff 0,5161
second_serve_won_diff -1,2616
bp_saved_diff 3,2040
bp_converted_diff 8,7121
aces_per_match_diff -0,3527
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,7590
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 11,1131
serve_consistency_p2 6,5479
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,3901
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0695
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0784
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22911
API ID 15328385
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22911,
    "api_id": 15328385,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5874,
    "prob_p2": 0.4126,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5874,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 65,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -76,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.204017857142844,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -5,
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    "log_rank_ratio": -0.10379679368164355,
    "rank_advantage": -7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 13.392857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.712053571428577,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 14,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8258035714285796,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.3526785714285716,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.5160714285714221,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.113089389800901,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.547890849103559,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.3901356296648693,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2616071428571445,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.2857142857142856,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.7590000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0695,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07842857142857146,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.259259259259263,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}