Antonia Ružić vs Solana Sierra
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
14 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Antonia Ružić
Antonia …: 58,7%
Solana …: 41,3%
¿Por qué Antonia Ružić?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Antonia … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,70 | 2,42 | 58,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Antonia …: -4,9%
Solana …: +4,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Antonia Ružić
Ranking
#65
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9014 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1038 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -76,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 13,3929 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,2593 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,4444 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8258 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,5161 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,2616 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2040 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,7121 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3527 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,7590 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,1131 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5479 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,3901 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0695 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0784 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22911
API ID
15328385
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22911,
"api_id": 15328385,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Antonia Ru\u017ei\u0107",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5874,
"prob_p2": 0.4126,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5874,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9014084507042254,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -76,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.204017857142844,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.10379679368164355,
"rank_advantage": -7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 13.392857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.712053571428577,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 14,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8258035714285796,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3526785714285716,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5160714285714221,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.113089389800901,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.547890849103559,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.3901356296648693,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2616071428571445,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.2857142857142856,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.7590000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0695,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07842857142857146,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.259259259259263,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}