Daniel Merida vs Lukas Klein
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
14 Ene 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lukas Klein
Daniel …: 42,8%
Lukas …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Lukas Klein?
UTR 14,00 vs 14,51
(-0,51)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Lukas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,38 | 1,53 | 42,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,31 | 1,62 | 43,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,34 | 1,75 | 42,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Daniel …: +3,6%
Lukas …: -3,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Merida
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
14,00 General
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
10/18 = 55,6%
Lukas Klein
Ranking
#136
UTR Rating
14,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#170
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/23 = 39,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8650 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1450 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -83,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,4251 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,4332 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7826 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 39,1304 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,7407 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,5415 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,4725 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,4109 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,6254 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,2188 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6643 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,1140 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8511 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9290 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1317 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,3815 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0776 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1307 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7659 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5777 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22912
API ID
15357625
Gamdom ID
592729
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22912,
"api_id": 15357625,
"gamdom_id": 592729,
"player1": "Daniel Merida",
"player2": "Lukas Klein",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T06:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.375,
"p2": 1.5333333333333332
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.31,
"p2": 1.62
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.23,
"p2": 1.61
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4279,
"prob_p2": 0.5721,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5721,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 136,
"utr_singles": 14.51,
"utr_ranking": 170,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 39.130434782608695,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.51,
"ranking": 170,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7658823529411765,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 0.8650306748466258,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -83,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.62536231884058,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 30.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 39.130434782608695,
"utr_advantage": -3.577692037881444,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.14499031042859406,
"rank_advantage": -22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.425120772946862,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.21884057971014,
"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.5414734299517,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.851063829787234,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.6642512077294684,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.472463768115958,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.92900844676985,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.131685499660694,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.3814833596967144,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.74074074074074,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.410869565217382,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.782608695652174,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.11400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0775555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.13069565217391305,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.433221099887763,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}