Dusan Lajovic vs Murphy Cassone
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:20
14 Ene 2026, 08:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Murphy Cassone
Dusan …: 25,9%
Murphy …: 74,1%
¿Por qué Murphy Cassone?
UTR 14,39 vs 14,23
(+0,22)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dusan … | Murphy … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,79 | 2,04 | 55,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,86 | 1,35 | 25,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dusan …: -27,8%
Murphy …: +27,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dusan Lajovic
Ranking
#125
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/17 = 35,3%
Murphy Cassone
Ranking
#224
UTR Rating
14,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#271
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
30/48 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 90,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7200 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5423 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 219,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 149,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -27,2059 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -18,3639 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3542 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,0952 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,5385 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 48,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,9271 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -10,4469 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,9647 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,4025 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,9333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9571 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,3350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,6667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8056 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,5798 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -14,7544 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2371 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2150 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -27,2059 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7282 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5385 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22913
API ID
15355594
Gamdom ID
592611
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22913,
"api_id": 15355594,
"gamdom_id": 592611,
"player1": "Dusan Lajovic",
"player2": "Murphy Cassone",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T04:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.79,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.77,
"p2": 2.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.259,
"prob_p2": 0.741,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.741,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 125,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 224,
"utr_singles": 14.23,
"utr_ranking": 271,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 48,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 271,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 1.72,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 219,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.402450980392153,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.294117647058826,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": 1.538461538461543,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 149,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5423242908253617,
"rank_advantage": 90,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -27.205882352941174,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.933333333333337,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 48,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.92709558823529,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.6666666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.957107843137255,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -10.446936274509795,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.29411764705882354,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.805638852140345,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.579840293573073,
"surface_rank_synergy": -14.754410853337045,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.53846153846154,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.964705882352938,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3541666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.335000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -27.205882352941174,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.23705882352941182,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21500000000000008,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -18.363858363858366,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}