Justina Mikulskyte vs Anastasia Gasanova
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
14 Ene 2026, 03:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Gasanova
Justina …: 33,3%
Anastasia …: 66,7%
¿Por qué Anastasia Gasanova?
UTR 11,15 vs 11,68
(-0,52)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Justina … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,29 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,80 | 1,28 | 26,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,00 | 1,50 | 33,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Justina …: +6,5%
Anastasia …: -6,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Justina Mikulskyte
Ranking
#217
UTR Rating
11,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#409
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Anastasia Gasanova
Ranking
#213
UTR Rating
11,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#198
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9815 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0187 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -9,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -77,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0847 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,8095 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,3700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 16,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -23,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -14,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,1010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7820 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8267 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3115 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1627 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3682 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4294 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,5654 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22915
API ID
15354364
Gamdom ID
592439
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22915,
"api_id": 15354364,
"gamdom_id": 592439,
"player1": "Justina Mikulskyte",
"player2": "Anastasia Gasanova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-13T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.2857142857142856
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.8,
"p2": 1.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.61,
"p2": 1.27
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3332,
"prob_p2": 0.6668,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6668,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 217,
"utr_singles": 11.15,
"utr_ranking": 409,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 213,
"utr_singles": 11.68,
"utr_ranking": 198,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.15,
"ranking": 409,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.68,
"ranking": 198,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.36823529411764716,
"utr_p2": 0.4294117647058824,
"utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.9814814814814815,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -9,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -23.29999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -4.565408252853376,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -77,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.01869213301215252,
"rank_advantage": -4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.666666666666657,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.36999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.5999999999999943,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.782003305681,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.8266918197017645,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.31153555020254187,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"second_serve_won_diff": 16.900000000000006,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.101000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0040000000000000036,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16266666666666652,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.084656084656079,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}