Lina Gjorcheska vs Tamara Zidansek
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 08:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tamara Zidansek
Lina …: 37,2% Tamara …: 62,8%
¿Por qué Tamara Zidansek?
UTR 11,65 vs 11,85 (-0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lina … Tamara … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
Gamdom 3,15 1,39 31,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,69 1,59 37,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Lina …: +6,0% Tamara …: -6,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lina Gjorcheska
Ranking #206
UTR Rating 11,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #200
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 57% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tamara Zidansek
Ranking #151
UTR Rating 11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #140
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 5/8 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -54,0000
rank_ratio 0,7366
log_rank_ratio -0,3057
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -124,0000
best_rank_diff -148,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -62,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,1200
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -48,7425
first_serve_won_diff -62,6000
second_serve_won_diff -51,4750
bp_saved_diff -62,4750
bp_converted_diff -56,1000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,8300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6798
serve_consistency_p2 6,9691
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 19,1081
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4460
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0710
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2600
utr_p1 0,4259
utr_p2 0,4565
utr_advantage -2,2128
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22916
API ID 15354363
Gamdom ID 592438
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22916,
    "api_id": 15354363,
    "gamdom_id": 592438,
    "player1": "Lina Gjorcheska",
    "player2": "Tamara Zidansek",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T04:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3636363636363638
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.15,
      "p2": 1.39
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.02,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3724,
    "prob_p2": 0.6276,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6276,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 206,
      "utr_singles": 11.65,
      "utr_ranking": 200,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 151,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 140,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 8,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.65,
      "ranking": 200,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 140,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4258823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4564705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.26000000000000156,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7365853658536585,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": -124,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -62.475,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -2.2127659574468215,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -148,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3057301423234839,
    "rank_advantage": -54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -62.5,
    "bp_converted_diff": -56.099999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": -48.74250000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.60000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.679816587790627,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.969103535763157,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 19.108133895217744,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -51.475,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.8300000000000125,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.44599999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07099999999999995,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.12,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}