Teodora Kostovic vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:10
14 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marina Stakusic
Teodora …: 25,3%
Marina …: 74,7%
¿Por qué Marina Stakusic?
UTR 11,74 vs 11,97
(-0,25)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Teodora … | Marina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,80 | 1,46 | 35,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,95 | 1,34 | 25,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Teodora …: -12,2%
Marina …: +12,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking
#177
UTR Rating
11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#172
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/6 = 33,3%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking
#127
UTR Rating
11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#116
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7216 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3263 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -168,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,7851 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2400 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,2759 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,5160 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3253 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,3333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,4720 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,4947 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4267 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 11,5090 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7338 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,4196 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,7857 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1177 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0690 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4682 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,1088 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22918
API ID
15355041
Gamdom ID
592607
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22918,
"api_id": 15355041,
"gamdom_id": 592607,
"player1": "Teodora Kostovic",
"player2": "Marina Stakusic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.8,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.72,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2531,
"prob_p2": 0.7469,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7469,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 177,
"utr_singles": 11.74,
"utr_ranking": 172,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 127,
"utr_singles": 11.97,
"utr_ranking": 116,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.74,
"ranking": 172,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.97,
"ranking": 116,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.25,
"rank_ratio": 0.7215909090909091,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -168,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.472000000000008,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.38,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
"utr_advantage": -2.108814846056516,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.32629690857956056,
"rank_advantage": -49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.666666666666671,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.494666666666674,
"p1_surface_matches": 6,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.5160000000000053,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.42666666666666675,
"combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.325333333333333,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.733762204311738,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.419638038662784,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.785687992500223,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.24,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 11.509,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1176666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06900000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.785134099616856,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}