Teodora Kostovic vs Marina Stakusic
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marina Stakusic
Teodora …: 25,3% Marina …: 74,7%
¿Por qué Marina Stakusic?
UTR 11,74 vs 11,97 (-0,25) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Teodora … Marina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,80 1,46 35,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,95 1,34 25,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Teodora …: -12,2% Marina …: +12,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Teodora Kostovic
Ranking #177
UTR Rating 11,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #172
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 2/6 = 33,3%
Marina Stakusic
Ranking #127
UTR Rating 11,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #116
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/25 = 48,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -49,0000
rank_ratio 0,7216
log_rank_ratio -0,3263
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -168,0000
best_rank_diff -61,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,7851
surface_matches_ratio 0,2400
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 48,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,2759
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,5160
first_serve_won_diff -1,3253
second_serve_won_diff 3,3333
bp_saved_diff -7,4720
bp_converted_diff -4,4947
aces_per_match_diff -0,4267
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,5090
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 9,7338
serve_consistency_p2 9,4196
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,7857
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1177
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0690
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2500
utr_p1 0,4388
utr_p2 0,4682
utr_advantage -2,1088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22918
API ID 15355041
Gamdom ID 592607
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22918,
    "api_id": 15355041,
    "gamdom_id": 592607,
    "player1": "Teodora Kostovic",
    "player2": "Marina Stakusic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.8,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.72,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2531,
    "prob_p2": 0.7469,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7469,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 177,
      "utr_singles": 11.74,
      "utr_ranking": 172,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 2,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 127,
      "utr_singles": 11.97,
      "utr_ranking": 116,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.74,
      "ranking": 172,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.97,
      "ranking": 116,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4388235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.4682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7215909090909091,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -168,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.472000000000008,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 18.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.108814846056516,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -61,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.32629690857956056,
    "rank_advantage": -49,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.666666666666671,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.494666666666674,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.5160000000000053,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.42666666666666675,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6066666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.325333333333333,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.733762204311738,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.419638038662784,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.785687992500223,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.275862068965516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3333333333333286,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.24,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.509,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1176666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06900000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.785134099616856,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}