Dante Pagani vs Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 18:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucio Ratti
Dante …: 24,4% Lucio …: 75,6%
¿Por qué Lucio Ratti?
UTR 12,90 vs 13,53 (-0,59) — Niveles similares
Dante …
W29-L20
59% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W5
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Dante … Lucio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,36 33,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,11 1,32 24,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Dante …: -6,8% Lucio …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dante Pagani
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,90 Junior
UTR Ranking #30
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Clay 0/2 = 0,0%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #670
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Clay 4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dante Pagani
Record 2025 29W - 20L (59%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025 56W - 29L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Dante Pagani en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,7524
surface_matches_ratio 0,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,8200
first_serve_won_diff -5,0000
second_serve_won_diff 3,6000
bp_saved_diff 4,6000
bp_converted_diff 26,2000
aces_per_match_diff 0,3000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 71,4286
momentum_diff -71,4286
weighted_momentum_diff -53,5714
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 113,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 12,3334
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5900
utr_p1 0,5753
utr_p2 0,6447
utr_advantage -4,4748
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22923
API ID 15359685
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22923,
    "api_id": 15359685,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Dante Pagani",
    "player2": "Lucio Ratti",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T14:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.3599999999999999
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.01,
      "p2": 1.35
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2436,
    "prob_p2": 0.7564,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7564,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.9,
      "utr_ranking": 30,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 59.183673469387756,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.5,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.38,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Jordi Leston"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Fantino Alberca de las Casas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.04,
          "opponent_name": "Ignacio Monzon"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.08,
          "opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Bautista Vilicich"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.429852+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.53,
      "utr_ranking": 670,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.77,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.39,
          "opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.83,
          "opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.27,
          "opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.9,
      "ranking": 30,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.53,
      "ranking": 670,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6447058823529412,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.600000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -71.42857142857143,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.474781949184678,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 26.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.8200000000000003,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.333449350079478,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -53.57142857142857,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 113,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.752380952380951,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}