Dante Pagani vs Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 18:55
13 Ene 2026, 18:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lucio Ratti
Dante …: 24,4%
Lucio …: 75,6%
¿Por qué Lucio Ratti?
UTR 12,90 vs 13,53
(-0,59)
— Niveles similares
Dante …
W29-L20
59% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W5
Lucio …
W56-L29
66% WR
vs UTR 12,9
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Dante … | Lucio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,00 | 1,36 | 33,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,11 | 1,32 | 24,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Dante …: -6,8%
Lucio …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Dante Pagani
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,90 Junior
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Clay
0/2 = 0,0%
Lucio Ratti
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#670
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Clay
4/10 = 40,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Dante Pagani
Record 2025
29W - 20L (59%)
Racha
5W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
W
Lucio Ratti
Record 2025
56W - 29L (66%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Dante Pagani en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,7524 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,8200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 26,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 71,4286 | |
| momentum_diff | -71,4286 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -53,5714 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 113,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,3334 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6447 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,4748 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22923
API ID
15359685
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22923,
"api_id": 15359685,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Dante Pagani",
"player2": "Lucio Ratti",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T14:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.0,
"p2": 1.3599999999999999
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.01,
"p2": 1.35
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2436,
"prob_p2": 0.7564,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7564,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 30,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 59.183673469387756,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.5,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Jordi Leston"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Fantino Alberca de las Casas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.04,
"opponent_name": "Ignacio Monzon"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.08,
"opponent_name": "Lautaro Agustin Falabella"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Bautista Vilicich"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.429852+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.53,
"utr_ranking": 670,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 56,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 65.88235294117646,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.86,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.77,
"opponent_name": "Juan Manuel La Serna"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.39,
"opponent_name": "Hady Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "bautista de la Pena"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.83,
"opponent_name": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.27,
"opponent_name": "Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:27.088757+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 30,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.53,
"ranking": 670,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.6447058823529412,
"utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 71.42857142857143,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.600000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -71.42857142857143,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.474781949184678,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 26.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.8200000000000003,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.333449350079478,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -53.57142857142857,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 113,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09999999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.752380952380951,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}