Juan Estevez vs Guido Ivan Justo
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 19:05
13 Ene 2026, 19:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Guido Ivan Justo
Juan …: 28,0%
Guido …: 72,0%
¿Por qué Guido Ivan Justo?
UTR 13,91 vs 13,92
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Guido … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,58 | 1,39 | 28,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -22,0%
Guido …: +22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking
#455
UTR Rating
13,91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#429
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
3/10 = 30,0%
Guido Ivan Justo
Ranking
#378
UTR Rating
13,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#424
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -95,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7974 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2263 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -35,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -125,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,6129 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,2619 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3226 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35,7143 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,6603 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8452 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 77,7778 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 27,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 20,2033 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,1794 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4947 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,8920 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1050 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0789 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7000 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0811 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22924
API ID
15359686
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22924,
"api_id": 15359686,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Estevez",
"player2": "Guido Ivan Justo",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T15:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.83
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2797,
"prob_p2": 0.7203,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7203,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 455,
"utr_singles": 13.91,
"utr_ranking": 429,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 378,
"utr_singles": 13.92,
"utr_ranking": 424,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.91,
"ranking": 429,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.92,
"ranking": 424,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.7,
"utr_diff": -0.14999999999999858,
"rank_ratio": 0.7974413646055437,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -35,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 27.77777777777777,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
"utr_advantage": -1.081081081081071,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -125,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.22634697103174742,
"rank_advantage": -95,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.61290322580645,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.660322580645158,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8451612903225807,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.700000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.179399135596032,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.494653822249507,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.892015180363573,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3225806451612903,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 20.20333333333334,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10500000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07887096774193547,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.261904761904757,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}