Juan Estevez vs Guido Ivan Justo
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 19:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Guido Ivan Justo
Juan …: 28,0% Guido …: 72,0%
¿Por qué Guido Ivan Justo?
UTR 13,91 vs 13,92 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Guido … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,58 1,39 28,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -22,0% Guido …: +22,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Estevez
Ranking #455
UTR Rating 13,91 Pro
UTR Ranking #429
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Clay 3/10 = 30,0%
Guido Ivan Justo
Ranking #378
UTR Rating 13,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #424
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 16/31 = 51,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -95,0000
rank_ratio 0,7974
log_rank_ratio -0,2263
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -35,0000
best_rank_diff -125,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,6129
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,2619
surface_matches_ratio 0,3226
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 51,6129
surface_wr_p1_stable 35,7143
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,4286
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,6603
first_serve_won_diff -5,7000
second_serve_won_diff -10,4000
bp_saved_diff 4,0000
bp_converted_diff -7,9000
aces_per_match_diff -0,8452
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2667
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 77,7778
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 27,7778
weighted_momentum_diff 20,2033
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 62,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 13,1794
serve_consistency_p2 8,4947
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,8920
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1050
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0789
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,6824
utr_p2 0,7000
utr_advantage -1,0811
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22924
API ID 15359686
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22924,
    "api_id": 15359686,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Estevez",
    "player2": "Guido Ivan Justo",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T15:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.83
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2797,
    "prob_p2": 0.7203,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7203,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 455,
      "utr_singles": 13.91,
      "utr_ranking": 429,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 378,
      "utr_singles": 13.92,
      "utr_ranking": 424,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.61290322580645,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.91,
      "ranking": 429,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.92,
      "ranking": 424,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6823529411764707,
    "utr_p2": 0.7,
    "utr_diff": -0.14999999999999858,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7974413646055437,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -35,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 27.77777777777777,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.61290322580645,
    "utr_advantage": -1.081081081081071,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -125,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.22634697103174742,
    "rank_advantage": -95,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.61290322580645,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.899999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.660322580645158,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8451612903225807,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.700000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.179399135596032,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.494653822249507,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.892015180363573,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.714285714285715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.42857142857142,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.399999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3225806451612903,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 20.20333333333334,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10500000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07887096774193547,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.261904761904757,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}