Wilson Leite vs Lautaro Midon
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 23:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lautaro Midon
Wilson …: 14,9% Lautaro …: 85,1%
¿Por qué Lautaro Midon?
UTR 13,15 vs 14,14 (-1,03) — Ligera ventaja
Wilson …
W24-L33
42% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Lautaro …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Wilson … Lautaro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,00 1,10 14,3%
IA Fair Odds 6,70 1,18 14,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Wilson …: +1,3% Lautaro …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Wilson Leite
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #968
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Clay 8/19 = 42,1%
Lautaro Midon
Ranking #232
UTR Rating 14,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #311
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Clay 24/40 = 60,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Wilson Leite
Record 2025 24W - 33L (42%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,2
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Lautaro Midon
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -268,0000
rank_ratio 0,4640
log_rank_ratio -0,7679
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -243,0000
best_rank_diff -269,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,8947
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -12,7503
surface_matches_ratio 0,4750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,1053
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,4783
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 40,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1579
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,3537
first_serve_won_diff -5,2000
second_serve_won_diff 5,9000
bp_saved_diff -2,4000
bp_converted_diff -13,0000
aces_per_match_diff -0,7618
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3500
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 79,5918
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff 47,5918
weighted_momentum_diff 34,9739
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 104,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 13,8120
serve_consistency_p2 2,3337
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,7408
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1891
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1680
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0300
utr_p1 0,6000
utr_p2 0,7212
utr_advantage -7,5652
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22928
API ID 15359683
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22928,
    "api_id": 15359683,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Wilson Leite",
    "player2": "Lautaro Midon",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-13T19:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.0,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.13,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1492,
    "prob_p2": 0.8508,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8508,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.15,
      "utr_ranking": 968,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.10526315789473,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.24,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.06,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Antonio Nunez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.55,
          "opponent_name": "Justin Roberts"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin Basel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Enzo Prediger"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.46,
          "opponent_name": "Laelson Rodrigues"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:02.133708+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 42.10526315789473,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 232,
      "utr_singles": 14.14,
      "utr_ranking": 311,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.15,
      "ranking": 968,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.14,
      "ranking": 311,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6,
    "utr_p2": 0.7211764705882354,
    "utr_diff": -1.0300000000000011,
    "rank_ratio": 0.464,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": -243,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.4000000000000057,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 47.59183673469387,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.10526315789473,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -7.565185457216314,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -269,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7678707267558817,
    "rank_advantage": -268,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.894736842105267,
    "bp_converted_diff": -13.000000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 40,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.3536842105263247,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.7618421052631579,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.20000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15789473684210525,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.812011347100741,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.3336707644520174,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.740844584052624,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.47826086956522,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.475,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 34.97387755102041,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 104,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18905263157894736,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16800000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.750329380764164,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}