Wilson Leite vs Lautaro Midon
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 32
13 Ene 2026, 23:15
13 Ene 2026, 23:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lautaro Midon
Wilson …: 14,9%
Lautaro …: 85,1%
¿Por qué Lautaro Midon?
UTR 13,15 vs 14,14
(-1,03)
— Ligera ventaja
Wilson …
W24-L33
42% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Lautaro …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Wilson … | Lautaro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 7,00 | 1,10 | 14,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,70 | 1,18 | 14,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Wilson …: +1,3%
Lautaro …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Wilson Leite
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#968
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Clay
8/19 = 42,1%
Lautaro Midon
Ranking
#232
UTR Rating
14,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#311
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Clay
24/40 = 60,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Wilson Leite
Record 2025
24W - 33L (42%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Lautaro Midon
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -268,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4640 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7679 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -243,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -269,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,8947 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,7503 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,1053 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,4783 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,3537 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -13,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7618 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 79,5918 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 47,5918 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 34,9739 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 104,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,8120 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,3337 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 13,7408 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1891 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1680 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7212 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,5652 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22928
API ID
15359683
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22928,
"api_id": 15359683,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Wilson Leite",
"player2": "Lautaro Midon",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-13T19:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 7.0,
"p2": 1.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.13,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1492,
"prob_p2": 0.8508,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8508,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.15,
"utr_ranking": 968,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 42.10526315789473,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.24,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.06,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Antonio Nunez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.55,
"opponent_name": "Justin Roberts"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.82,
"opponent_name": "Valentin Basel"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Enzo Prediger"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.46,
"opponent_name": "Laelson Rodrigues"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:02.133708+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 42.10526315789473,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 232,
"utr_singles": 14.14,
"utr_ranking": 311,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.15,
"ranking": 968,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.14,
"ranking": 311,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6,
"utr_p2": 0.7211764705882354,
"utr_diff": -1.0300000000000011,
"rank_ratio": 0.464,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 79.59183673469387,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": -243,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.4000000000000057,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.35,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 47.59183673469387,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.10526315789473,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -7.565185457216314,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -269,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7678707267558817,
"rank_advantage": -268,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.894736842105267,
"bp_converted_diff": -13.000000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.3536842105263247,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.7618421052631579,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.20000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15789473684210525,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.812011347100741,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.3336707644520174,
"surface_rank_synergy": 13.740844584052624,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.47826086956522,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.475,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 34.97387755102041,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 104,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18905263157894736,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16800000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.750329380764164,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}