Luciano Darderi vs Alejandro Tabilo
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Luciano …: 34,9%
Alejandro …: 65,1%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,11 vs 15,06
(-0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luciano … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,36 | 1,59 | 42,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,86 | 1,54 | 34,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Luciano …: -6,4%
Alejandro …: +6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Darderi
Ranking
#25
UTR Rating
15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#80
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
6/20 = 30,0%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking
#79
UTR Rating
15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 57,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2164 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 862,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,5714 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,8333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,1250 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,4962 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,2679 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0171 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -14,5421 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,4300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1786 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -68,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -56,3150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 69,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7658 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7586 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5027 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0463 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -28,6722 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2570 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0927 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -23,5714 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8435 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1319 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22932
API ID
15327188
Gamdom ID
579401
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22932,
"api_id": 15327188,
"gamdom_id": 579401,
"player1": "Luciano Darderi",
"player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.36,
"p2": 1.59
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.32,
"p2": 1.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3493,
"prob_p2": 0.6507,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6507,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 25,
"utr_singles": 15.11,
"utr_ranking": 80,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 79,
"utr_singles": 15.06,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 80,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.06,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 3.375,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 862,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -14.542142857142863,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -68.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.57142857142857,
"utr_advantage": -0.13192612137202883,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2163953243244932,
"rank_advantage": 57,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.57142857142857,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.43,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.4962142857142737,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7657657657657657,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7586206896551724,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1785714285714288,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.267857142857139,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.502743991998845,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.046325883470987,
"surface_rank_synergy": -28.67217550193448,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.125,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.017142857142836476,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -56.315000000000026,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -23.57142857142857,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25699999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09271428571428564,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.833333333333337,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}