Luciano Darderi vs Alejandro Tabilo
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Luciano …: 34,9% Alejandro …: 65,1%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,11 vs 15,06 (-0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luciano … Alejandro … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,36 1,59 42,4%
IA Fair Odds 2,86 1,54 34,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Luciano …: -6,4% Alejandro …: +6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Darderi
Ranking #25
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #80
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/20 = 30,0%
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #79
UTR Rating 15,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/28 = 53,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 57,0000
rank_ratio 3,3750
log_rank_ratio 1,2164
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 862,0000
best_rank_diff -5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,5714
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,8333
surface_matches_ratio 0,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,5714
surface_wr_p1_stable 33,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,1250
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,4962
first_serve_won_diff -2,2679
second_serve_won_diff -0,0171
bp_saved_diff -14,5421
bp_converted_diff 10,4300
aces_per_match_diff -1,1786
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -68,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -56,3150
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 69,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7658
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7586
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,5027
serve_consistency_p2 11,0463
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -28,6722
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2570
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0927
elite_surface_amplifier -23,5714
UTR
utr_diff -0,0200
utr_p1 0,8412
utr_p2 0,8435
utr_advantage -0,1319
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22932
API ID 15327188
Gamdom ID 579401
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22932,
    "api_id": 15327188,
    "gamdom_id": 579401,
    "player1": "Luciano Darderi",
    "player2": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.36,
      "p2": 1.59
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.32,
      "p2": 1.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3493,
    "prob_p2": 0.6507,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6507,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 25,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 80,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 79,
      "utr_singles": 15.06,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 80,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.06,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.8435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
    "rank_ratio": 3.375,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 862,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -14.542142857142863,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -68.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.57142857142857,
    "utr_advantage": -0.13192612137202883,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2163953243244932,
    "rank_advantage": 57,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.57142857142857,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.43,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.4962142857142737,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7657657657657657,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7586206896551724,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1785714285714288,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.267857142857139,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.502743991998845,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.046325883470987,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -28.67217550193448,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.125,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.017142857142836476,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7142857142857143,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -56.315000000000026,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -23.57142857142857,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 69,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25699999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09271428571428564,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.833333333333337,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}