Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rinky Hijikata
Adelaide | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro …: 76,1% Rinky …: 23,9%
¿Por qué Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
UTR 15,62 vs 14,82 (+1,32) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alejandro … Rinky … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,18 76,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alejandro …: +5,9% Rinky …: -5,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 29/46 = 63,0%
Rinky Hijikata
Ranking #114
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #110
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 100,0000
rank_ratio 7,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,0369
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 2058,0000
best_rank_diff 48,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 7,7243
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,0980
surface_matches_ratio 0,9787
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,0435
surface_wr_p2 55,3191
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,9020
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2609
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,6002
first_serve_won_diff 0,4300
second_serve_won_diff 1,3344
bp_saved_diff 2,2002
bp_converted_diff 1,5791
aces_per_match_diff -0,6078
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,5850
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9104
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7258
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6538
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6111
serve_consistency_p1 8,4594
serve_consistency_p2 4,1492
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,7335
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0304
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1532
elite_surface_amplifier 23,1730
UTR
utr_diff 1,3200
utr_p1 0,9118
utr_p2 0,7565
utr_advantage 8,7475
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22935
API ID 15327343
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22935,
    "api_id": 15327343,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
    "player2": "Rinky Hijikata",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 3.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7609,
    "prob_p2": 0.2391,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7609,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 14,
      "utr_singles": 15.62,
      "utr_ranking": 16,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 114,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 110,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.319148936170215,
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      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 16,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 110,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
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  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 1.3200000000000003,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 2058,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.2001850138760446,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.04347826086957,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "surface_wr_diff": 7.7243293246993545,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -0.6002312673450447,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9104477611940298,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7258064516129032,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6077705827937097,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.4299722479185988,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2608695652173913,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.459422038855394,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.1492408243895555,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.73354680169259,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0304347826086957,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.098039215686271,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
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  "feature_importance": {}
}