Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:35
14 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 66,6%
Giovanni …: 33,4%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 15,16
(+0,30)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Cameron … | Giovanni … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,74 | 2,10 | 57,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 2,99 | 66,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Cameron …: +9,7%
Giovanni …: -9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
19/37 = 51,4%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#71
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 35,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8109 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 673,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,4942 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,2205 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3214 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,3514 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,2195 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0270 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,4931 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,9385 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,8542 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,3869 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,2957 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,5338 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,4300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0068 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0412 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4348 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4737 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1647 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,7941 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,8882 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0215 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0364 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 8,4942 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8553 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,9455 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22937
API ID
15327197
Gamdom ID
579398
Torneo
Auckland
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22937,
"api_id": 15327197,
"gamdom_id": 579398,
"player1": "Cameron Norrie",
"player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
"tournament": "Auckland",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6657,
"prob_p2": 0.3343,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6657,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.38,
"utr_ranking": 36,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 71,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.38,
"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 71,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 2.25,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 673,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.3868725868725846,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 1.9455252918287984,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 21,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8109302162163288,
"rank_advantage": 35,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.494208494208493,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.29565637065637,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.493098455598457,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.533783783783784,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.938513513513527,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.164652081270235,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.7940840402699774,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.8882103307950695,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.854247104247108,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3214285714285714,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4300000000000068,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 8.494208494208493,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.021486486486486434,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03642857142857153,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.220528455284552,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}