Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Auckland | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 06:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Cameron …: 66,6% Giovanni …: 33,4%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 15,38 vs 15,16 (+0,30) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cameron … Giovanni … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,74 2,10 57,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 2,99 66,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Cameron …: +9,7% Giovanni …: -9,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #71
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/28 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 35,0000
rank_ratio 2,2500
log_rank_ratio 0,8109
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 673,0000
best_rank_diff 21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 8,4942
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,2205
surface_matches_ratio 1,3214
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,3514
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2195
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0270
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,4931
first_serve_won_diff -3,9385
second_serve_won_diff -4,8542
bp_saved_diff -1,3869
bp_converted_diff 8,2957
aces_per_match_diff -5,5338
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,4300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0068
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0412
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4348
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4737
serve_consistency_p1 9,1647
serve_consistency_p2 2,7941
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,8882
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0215
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0364
elite_surface_amplifier 8,4942
UTR
utr_diff 0,3000
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,8553
utr_advantage 1,9455
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22937
API ID 15327197
Gamdom ID 579398
Torneo Auckland
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22937,
    "api_id": 15327197,
    "gamdom_id": 579398,
    "player1": "Cameron Norrie",
    "player2": "Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard",
    "tournament": "Auckland",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6657,
    "prob_p2": 0.3343,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6657,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 71,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 71,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.3000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 2.25,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 673,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.3868725868725846,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 1.9455252918287984,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8109302162163288,
    "rank_advantage": 35,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.43478260869565216,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.47368421052631576,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 8.494208494208493,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.29565637065637,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.493098455598457,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0068493150684932,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.041237113402062,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.533783783783784,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.938513513513527,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02702702702702703,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.164652081270235,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.7940840402699774,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.8882103307950695,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.854247104247108,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3214285714285714,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 8.494208494208493,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.021486486486486434,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03642857142857153,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.220528455284552,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}