Iva Jovic vs Renata Zarazua
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 07:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 81,4% Renata …: 18,6%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,08 (+0,27) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Renata … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,32 3,50 75,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,38 81,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +8,5% Renata …: -8,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 54,0000
rank_ratio 2,8000
log_rank_ratio 1,0296
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 688,0000
best_rank_diff 18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,8502
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,1522
surface_matches_ratio 0,7308
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 42,3077
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,4235
first_serve_won_diff 3,3077
second_serve_won_diff 3,3077
bp_saved_diff 10,8154
bp_converted_diff 2,7000
aces_per_match_diff 1,3887
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,2300
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5200
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 9,0774
serve_consistency_p2 5,2662
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,4678
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0776
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0229
elite_surface_amplifier 20,8502
UTR
utr_diff 0,2700
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage 2,2140
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22938
API ID 15328396
Gamdom ID 580586
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22938,
    "api_id": 15328396,
    "gamdom_id": 580586,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Renata Zarazua",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T03:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8142,
    "prob_p2": 0.1858,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8142,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.2699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 688,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.815384615384616,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.30769230769231,
    "utr_advantage": 2.2140221402213984,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0296194171811581,
    "rank_advantage": 54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.850202429149796,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.6999999999999957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.423481781376523,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.52,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.3886639676113361,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.3076923076923137,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.077395925136274,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.2661604260152535,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.46777327321038,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3076923076923137,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7307692307692307,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.22999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 20.850202429149796,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07757894736842097,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02292307692307688,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.152173913043482,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}