Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovic
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 13:20
14 Ene 2026, 13:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Olga Danilovic
Peyton …: 46,7%
Olga …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Olga Danilovic?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,27
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Peyton … | Olga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,30 | 1,62 | 43,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,22 | 1,69 | 45,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,14 | 1,88 | 46,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Peyton …: +5,4%
Olga …: -5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
10/25 = 40,0%
Olga Danilovic
Ranking
#69
UTR Rating
12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#48
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0149 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0148 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3,7500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,4741 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,5625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,2069 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2215 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,5370 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0,8530 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,2360 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1325 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,6690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8148 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8450 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,1528 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3213 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0556 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0615 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,0643 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22939
API ID
15328393
Gamdom ID
580579
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22939,
"api_id": 15328393,
"gamdom_id": 580579,
"player1": "Peyton Stearns",
"player2": "Olga Danilovic",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T09:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.3,
"p2": 1.62
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.22,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.15,
"p2": 1.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4672,
"prob_p2": 0.5328,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5328,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 69,
"utr_singles": 12.27,
"utr_ranking": 48,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 48,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0149253731343284,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 1,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.8530000000000015,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": -1.0642652476463283,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.014815085785140682,
"rank_advantage": 1,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.75,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.236000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.2068500000000029,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8449612403100775,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.13249999999999984,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.22149999999999892,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.152835251429018,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.32128001272403,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.05555657169427756,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.537000000000006,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5625,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.668999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10099999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0615,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.474137931034482,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}