Peyton Stearns vs Olga Danilovic
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 13:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Olga Danilovic
Peyton …: 46,7% Olga …: 53,3%
¿Por qué Olga Danilovic?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,27 (-0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Peyton … Olga … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,30 1,62 43,5%
Gamdom 2,22 1,69 45,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,14 1,88 46,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Peyton …: +5,4% Olga …: -5,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 10/25 = 40,0%
Olga Danilovic
Ranking #69
UTR Rating 12,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #48
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 1,0000
rank_ratio 1,0149
log_rank_ratio 0,0148
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 1,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,7500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,4741
surface_matches_ratio 1,5625
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 41,3793
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,2069
first_serve_won_diff -0,2215
second_serve_won_diff -4,5370
bp_saved_diff -0,8530
bp_converted_diff 7,2360
aces_per_match_diff 0,1325
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 42,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -26,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,6690
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8148
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8450
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 14,1528
serve_consistency_p2 9,3213
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0556
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1010
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0615
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1300
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,5035
utr_advantage -1,0643
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22939
API ID 15328393
Gamdom ID 580579
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22939,
    "api_id": 15328393,
    "gamdom_id": 580579,
    "player1": "Peyton Stearns",
    "player2": "Olga Danilovic",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T09:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.3,
      "p2": 1.62
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.22,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.15,
      "p2": 1.68
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4672,
    "prob_p2": 0.5328,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5328,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 12.07,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 69,
      "utr_singles": 12.27,
      "utr_ranking": 48,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.07,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.27,
      "ranking": 48,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0149253731343284,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 1,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.8530000000000015,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -25.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": -1.0642652476463283,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.014815085785140682,
    "rank_advantage": 1,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.75,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.236000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.2068500000000029,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8449612403100775,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.13249999999999984,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.22149999999999892,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 14.152835251429018,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.32128001272403,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.05555657169427756,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.537000000000006,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5625,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.668999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10099999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0615,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.474137931034482,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}