Rebecca Sramkova vs Taylah Preston
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebecca Sramkova
Rebecca …: 64,3% Taylah …: 35,7%
¿Por qué Rebecca Sramkova?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,50 (+0,57) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Rebecca … Taylah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,44 2,90 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,80 64,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Rebecca …: -1,3% Taylah …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking #73
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #101
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/36 = 41,7%
Taylah Preston
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 132,0000
rank_ratio 2,8333
log_rank_ratio 1,0415
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 560,0000
best_rank_diff 101,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,5750
surface_matches_ratio 6,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,6667
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1667
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,6900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,4500
first_serve_won_diff -1,8333
second_serve_won_diff 2,3333
bp_saved_diff 1,1333
bp_converted_diff -11,6333
aces_per_match_diff 2,8333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,4450
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,4038
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2727
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 13,1202
serve_consistency_p2 7,4532
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,6788
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2153
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1320
elite_surface_amplifier -16,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,5700
utr_p1 0,4694
utr_p2 0,4024
utr_advantage 4,8697
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22940
API ID 15328394
Gamdom ID 580580
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22940,
    "api_id": 15328394,
    "gamdom_id": 580580,
    "player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
    "player2": "Taylah Preston",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-14T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.9
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.42,
      "p2": 2.82
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6432,
    "prob_p2": 0.3568,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6432,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 73,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 101,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 101,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 2.8333333333333335,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 560,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1333333333333258,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.8697137975224285,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 101,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0414538748281612,
    "rank_advantage": 132,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333329,
    "bp_converted_diff": -11.633333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.449999999999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.8333333333333335,
    "combined_confidence": 0.69,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.8333333333333357,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.120229152126708,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.453171673918004,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.678782290234672,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.3333333333333357,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4450000000000074,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -16.666666666666657,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21533333333333327,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.132,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.5749999999999967,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}