Rebecca Sramkova vs Taylah Preston
Hobart | Hard | Round of 16
14 Ene 2026, 05:00
14 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rebecca Sramkova
Rebecca …: 64,3%
Taylah …: 35,7%
¿Por qué Rebecca Sramkova?
UTR 12,02 vs 11,50
(+0,57)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rebecca … | Taylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,44 | 2,90 | 69,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,55 | 2,80 | 64,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rebecca …: -1,3%
Taylah …: +1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rebecca Sramkova
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Taylah Preston
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 132,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0415 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 560,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 101,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,5750 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,4500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8333 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,3333 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1333 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -11,6333 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,8333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,4450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,1202 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4532 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,6788 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2153 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1320 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -16,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4024 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,8697 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22940
API ID
15328394
Gamdom ID
580580
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22940,
"api_id": 15328394,
"gamdom_id": 580580,
"player1": "Rebecca Sramkova",
"player2": "Taylah Preston",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-14T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.9
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.82
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6432,
"prob_p2": 0.3568,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6432,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.5,
"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.46941176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 2.8333333333333335,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 560,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1333333333333258,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 4.8697137975224285,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 101,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0414538748281612,
"rank_advantage": 132,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.333333333333329,
"bp_converted_diff": -11.633333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.449999999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.40384615384615385,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.8333333333333335,
"combined_confidence": 0.69,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8333333333333357,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.120229152126708,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.453171673918004,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.678782290234672,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.3333333333333357,
"surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.4450000000000074,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -16.666666666666657,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.21533333333333327,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.132,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.5749999999999967,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}