Chris Rodesch vs Rafael Jodar
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Jodar
Chris …: 28,2% Rafael …: 71,9%
¿Por qué Rafael Jodar?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chris … Rafael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,29 28,6%
Gamdom 3,35 1,33 29,9%
IA Fair Odds 3,55 1,39 28,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Chris …: +1,3% Rafael …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chris Rodesch
Ranking #209
UTR Rating 14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #177
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 13/23 = 56,5%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking #150
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -58,0000
rank_ratio 0,7212
log_rank_ratio -0,3269
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -137,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,8116
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,2789
surface_matches_ratio 0,7667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,5217
surface_wr_p2 73,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,5556
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,5882
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1304
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,0464
first_serve_won_diff -2,0391
second_serve_won_diff 0,2391
bp_saved_diff 2,4957
bp_converted_diff -4,2935
aces_per_match_diff 3,9971
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -16,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,9000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 2,9836
serve_consistency_p2 9,7989
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,4958
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1232
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1753
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7494
utr_p2 0,7494
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22942
API ID 15361659
Gamdom ID 594528
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22942,
    "api_id": 15361659,
    "gamdom_id": 594528,
    "player1": "Chris Rodesch",
    "player2": "Rafael Jodar",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T03:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.2857142857142856
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.35,
      "p2": 1.33
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2815,
    "prob_p2": 0.7185,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7185,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 209,
      "utr_singles": 14.49,
      "utr_ranking": 177,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.49,
      "ranking": 177,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7494117647058822,
    "utr_p2": 0.7494117647058822,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7211538461538461,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -137,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.4956521739130437,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -15.999999999999972,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
    "surface_wr_p2": 73.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.32690278560506225,
    "rank_advantage": -58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.811594202898547,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.29347826086957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.046376811594207,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.9971014492753616,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0391304347826065,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.9835921382431145,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.79891568924129,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.495756975389451,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.58823529411765,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.2391304347826022,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.900000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12321739130434783,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17533333333333323,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.278867102396516,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}