Chris Rodesch vs Rafael Jodar
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 07:30
14 Ene 2026, 07:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Jodar
Chris …: 28,2%
Rafael …: 71,9%
¿Por qué Rafael Jodar?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chris … | Rafael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,29 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,35 | 1,33 | 29,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,55 | 1,39 | 28,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chris …: +1,3%
Rafael …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chris Rodesch
Ranking
#209
UTR Rating
14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#177
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
13/23 = 56,5%
Rafael Jodar
Ranking
#150
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
71% (7p)
WR Hard
22/30 = 73,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7212 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3269 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -137,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,8116 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,2789 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,5217 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,5882 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1304 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,0464 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,0391 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,2391 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,4957 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2935 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,9971 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,9836 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7989 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,4958 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1232 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1753 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7494 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22942
API ID
15361659
Gamdom ID
594528
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22942,
"api_id": 15361659,
"gamdom_id": 594528,
"player1": "Chris Rodesch",
"player2": "Rafael Jodar",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T03:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.2857142857142856
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.35,
"p2": 1.33
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.3
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2815,
"prob_p2": 0.7185,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7185,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 209,
"utr_singles": 14.49,
"utr_ranking": 177,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.52173913043478,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.49,
"ranking": 177,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7494117647058822,
"utr_p2": 0.7494117647058822,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7211538461538461,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -137,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.4956521739130437,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -15.999999999999972,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.52173913043478,
"surface_wr_p2": 73.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.32690278560506225,
"rank_advantage": -58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.811594202898547,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.29347826086957,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.046376811594207,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.9971014492753616,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.0391304347826065,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13043478260869565,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.9835921382431145,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.79891568924129,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.495756975389451,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.58823529411765,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.2391304347826022,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7666666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.900000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.12321739130434783,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17533333333333323,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.278867102396516,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}