James McCabe vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:25
14 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
James …: 24,6%
Nicolai …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | James … | Nicolai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,27 | 1,64 | 44,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,07 | 1,33 | 24,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
James …: -21,8%
Nicolai …: +21,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
James McCabe
Ranking
#173
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#303
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
20/42 = 47,6%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#135
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -38,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7803 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2480 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -109,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,8095 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -21,4047 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,8261 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,2308 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0476 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,2829 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3467 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,1905 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,8143 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,5076 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9238 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -11,1010 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7467 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2941 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,4703 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5238 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5,9052 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0142 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1763 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22944
API ID
15361648
Gamdom ID
594497
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22944,
"api_id": 15361648,
"gamdom_id": 594497,
"player1": "James McCabe",
"player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T02:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.64
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2459,
"prob_p2": 0.7541,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7541,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 173,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 303,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 303,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.7803468208092486,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -109,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.8142857142857167,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2480168160593495,
"rank_advantage": -38,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.29411764705882354,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.809523809523817,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.507619047619045,
"p1_surface_matches": 42,
"p2_surface_matches": 35,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.2828571428571536,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7466666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9238095238095232,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.346666666666664,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.47028091858209,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.523750332459617,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.905162287127371,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.82608695652174,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.23076923076923,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.19047619047619,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -11.101000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014190476190476142,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17628571428571427,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -21.404682274247484,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}