James McCabe vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 06:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
James …: 24,6% Nicolai …: 75,4%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente James … Nicolai … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 2,27 1,64 44,1%
IA Fair Odds 4,07 1,33 24,6%
Edge vs Mercado: James …: -21,8% Nicolai …: +21,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
James McCabe
Ranking #173
UTR Rating 14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #303
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 20/42 = 47,6%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #135
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 25/35 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -38,0000
rank_ratio 0,7803
log_rank_ratio -0,2480
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -109,0000
best_rank_diff -32,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,8095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -21,4047
surface_matches_ratio 1,2000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,6190
surface_wr_p2 71,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,8261
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,2308
p1_surface_matches 42,0000
p2_surface_matches 35,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0476
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,2829
first_serve_won_diff -3,3467
second_serve_won_diff -8,1905
bp_saved_diff 2,8143
bp_converted_diff -9,5076
aces_per_match_diff 1,9238
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,1010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7467
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2941
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 6,4703
serve_consistency_p2 8,5238
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,9052
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0142
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1763
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7024
utr_p2 0,7024
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22944
API ID 15361648
Gamdom ID 594497
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22944,
    "api_id": 15361648,
    "gamdom_id": 594497,
    "player1": "James McCabe",
    "player2": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T02:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.27,
      "p2": 1.64
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.63
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2459,
    "prob_p2": 0.7541,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7541,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 173,
      "utr_singles": 14.15,
      "utr_ranking": 303,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.61904761904761,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.15,
      "ranking": 303,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.7023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7803468208092486,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -109,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.8142857142857167,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -32,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2480168160593495,
    "rank_advantage": -38,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.29411764705882354,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.809523809523817,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.507619047619045,
    "p1_surface_matches": 42,
    "p2_surface_matches": 35,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.2828571428571536,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7466666666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.9238095238095232,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.346666666666664,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.047619047619047616,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.47028091858209,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.523750332459617,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.905162287127371,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.82608695652174,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.23076923076923,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.19047619047619,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.101000000000013,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.014190476190476142,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17628571428571427,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -21.404682274247484,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}