Martin Landaluce vs Stefano Travaglia
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Landaluce
Martin …: 55,0% Stefano …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Martin Landaluce?
UTR 14,49 vs 14,53 (+0,02) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Stefano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,2%
Gamdom 1,39 3,00 71,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 55,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: -9,5% Stefano …: +9,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Landaluce
Ranking #149
UTR Rating 14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #176
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/40 = 60,0%
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking #191
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #165
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 40,0000
rank_ratio 1,2685
log_rank_ratio 0,2378
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 112,0000
best_rank_diff -50,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,0739
surface_matches_ratio 3,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,0909
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,2500
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,6767
first_serve_won_diff -4,9217
second_serve_won_diff -4,4417
bp_saved_diff 6,1883
bp_converted_diff -6,9408
aces_per_match_diff -1,9417
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -19,5350
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7059
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,3288
serve_consistency_p2 8,0515
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,3963
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0600
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1233
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0200
utr_p1 0,7694
utr_p2 0,7671
utr_advantage 0,1376
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 22945
API ID 15361649
Gamdom ID 594499
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 2
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 22945,
    "api_id": 15361649,
    "gamdom_id": 594499,
    "player1": "Martin Landaluce",
    "player2": "Stefano Travaglia",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 2",
    "date": "2026-01-14T01:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4444444444444444,
      "p2": 2.625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.38,
      "p2": 2.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5504,
    "prob_p2": 0.4496,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5504,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 149,
      "utr_singles": 14.49,
      "utr_ranking": 176,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 191,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 165,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.49,
      "ranking": 176,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 165,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7694117647058822,
    "utr_p2": 0.7670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
    "rank_ratio": 1.2684563758389262,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 112,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.188333333333347,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": 0.13764624913970802,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -50,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.23780070911418327,
    "rank_advantage": 40,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.6666666666666643,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.940833333333337,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.676666666666662,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.9416666666666673,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.921666666666667,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.328815494611868,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.051485027589122,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.3963345151903049,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.44166666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -19.53500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05999999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1233333333333334,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.073863636363638,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}