Martin Landaluce vs Stefano Travaglia
Australian Open | Hard | Qualification Round 2
14 Ene 2026, 05:50
14 Ene 2026, 05:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Landaluce
Martin …: 55,0%
Stefano …: 45,0%
¿Por qué Martin Landaluce?
UTR 14,49 vs 14,53
(+0,02)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Martin … | Stefano … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,2% |
| Gamdom | 1,39 | 3,00 | 71,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 55,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Martin …: -9,5%
Stefano …: +9,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Landaluce
Ranking
#149
UTR Rating
14,49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#176
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Stefano Travaglia
Ranking
#191
UTR Rating
14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#165
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
7/12 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 40,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2685 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2378 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 112,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -50,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,0739 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,2500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,6767 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,9217 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,4417 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,1883 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,9408 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,9417 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,5350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3288 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0515 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,3963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0600 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1233 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7671 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1376 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
22945
API ID
15361649
Gamdom ID
594499
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 22945,
"api_id": 15361649,
"gamdom_id": 594499,
"player1": "Martin Landaluce",
"player2": "Stefano Travaglia",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2026-01-14T01:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.39,
"p2": 3.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.38,
"p2": 2.93
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5504,
"prob_p2": 0.4496,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5504,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 149,
"utr_singles": 14.49,
"utr_ranking": 176,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 191,
"utr_singles": 14.53,
"utr_ranking": 165,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 176,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 165,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.7670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 1.2684563758389262,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 112,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.188333333333347,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": 0.13764624913970802,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -50,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.23780070911418327,
"rank_advantage": 40,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.6666666666666643,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.940833333333337,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.676666666666662,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.9416666666666673,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.921666666666667,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.328815494611868,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.051485027589122,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.3963345151903049,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.44166666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.3333333333333335,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.53500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05999999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1233333333333334,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.073863636363638,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}